NYSE: BOX

Box (BOX) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$31.34−0.05 (−0.2%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Attention this week centers on a leadership change at Box: Chief Accounting Officer Eli Berkovitch plans to resign on 23 October after more than eleven years with the company, with the cofounder stepping into an interim role; the company notes the departure is not tied to any disagreement over financial practices. Coverage also points to options market activity around Box shares drawing notice, alongside commentary on the stock following its most recent earnings report as investors continue to digest the prior quarter's revenue growth.

Box closes at $31.34, off 0.2% on the day, sitting between its 50-day average of $32.85 and 200-day average of $27.64, with the stock down 9.8% over the past month but up 18% over three months and 35.8% over six months. The GekkoIndex reads 66, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Gekko Fair Value stands at $32.89, putting the current price about 4.7% below that mark.

The next earnings report is scheduled for 1 December, 63 days out and beyond a typical 20-day holding window. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears within their respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point in the calendar have averaged a 4.9% gain across five years, rising in three of those years, a pattern worth noting alongside the stock's typical 20-day move of 5.3%.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Box price vs fair value

$32.89$31.34Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $31.34200-day averageGekko Fair Value $32.89

Box quick facts

Market cap
$4.34B
P/E ratio
48.2
Forward P/E
17.6
EPS, TTM
$0.67
Revenue, TTM
$1.23B
Profit margin
10.6%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
0.74
Volume
2.33M avg 2.71M
1-year return
−3.0%
Typical daily move
±3.2%
Typical 20-day move
±5.3%
50-day average
$32.85
200-day average
$27.64
Next earnings
Dec 1 after close
Shares outstanding
137.2M
52-week range
$21.34$36.34

Box swing-trade checklist

Box scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive2 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $31.34 sits between the 50-day ($32.85) and 200-day ($27.64) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    66, Accumulation

    Reading 66 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    4.7% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (4.7% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 63 days

    Next report Dec 1, 2026, 63 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +4.9% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +4.9% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Box stock chart and price history

Box closed at $31.34 on Sep 28, 2026, −3.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $21.34 to $36.34.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Box share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$25$30$35NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep31.34

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−9.8%
3 months
+18.0%
6 months
+35.8%
1 year
−3.0%
The full BOX chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open BOX in Gekko

Follow Box through every session

Put BOX on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Box

Box provides a cloud platform built around managing digital content for organizations of every size. Through this software-as-a-service offering, businesses can store, share, and reach their files from any device or location. The platform supports collaboration both inside and outside a company, automates workflows tied to content, and allows teams to build custom applications on top of it. It also folds in tools for data protection, security, and compliance, helping organizations meet legal, regulatory, and internal governance requirements.

Customers reach Box through web, mobile, and desktop apps, and the company also offers industry-specific features alongside its broader platform for custom development. As of January 31, 2022, roughly 100,000 paying organizations used its services, which are offered in 25 languages. Its customer base includes organizations in financial services, healthcare, government, and legal services, drawn from both domestic and international markets.

The company traces its start to 2005, when it operated under the name Box.net, Inc., adopting the Box, Inc. name in November 2011. It is headquartered in California's San Francisco Bay Area. Box shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker BOX.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Technology services
Industry
Information technology services
Website
box.com

Box GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Box’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 66, in the Accumulation zone, up 8.4 points over five sessions.

010066Accumulation

Up 8.4 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying28+0.3%−0.3%+1.0%−1.1%
Accumulation (current zone)243+0.6%+0.5%+0.4%+1.7%
Neutral335+0.3%+1.1%+2.7%+4.2%
Distribution53−1.4%−2.0%−3.6%−2.2%
Selling13+0.1%−0.7%−3.8%−0.7%

Average BOX share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the BOX price, zone by zone.Track BOX in Gekko

Is Box stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Box trades 4.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $32.89, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Box shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$32.89

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

4.7% below fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open BOX in Gekko

Box insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Box, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for BOX in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every BOX insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BOX in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in BOX were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for BOX, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BOX in Gekko

Buybacks

Box has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jul 31, 2026
$69.26M
As a share of market cap
1.60%
Trailing four quarters
$385.9M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold BOX.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Box earnings: next date and track record

Box reports on Dec 1, 2026, after the close (63 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±8.7%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+11.4%Aug ’24−9.5%Dec ’24−1.1%Mar ’25+18.6%May ’25+3.3%Aug ’25+9.6%Dec ’25+11.7%Mar ’26−4.7%May ’26

Last earnings call, May 26, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Box delivered Q1 FY2027 revenue growth of 11% YoY (10% constant currency), marking the first double-digit growth in over 12 quarters. Billings grew 5% YoY (13% constant currency) with operating margins of 28%, all exceeding guidance. Enterprise Advanced adoption is accelerating with net retention above the overall 105% company rate and commanding a 30-40% price premium over Enterprise Plus. Box is positioning as the unstructured data and AI agent platform for enterprises.
Guidance
Management provided Q2 and full fiscal year 2027 guidance, expecting continued revenue growth acceleration and expanding profitability. Full details available in supplemental slides, with expectations for gross margin improvement, operating leverage, and long-term shareholder value creation.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
May 26, 2026$0.37
est $0.36
+2.8%$305.9M
est $304.4M
+0.5%−4.7%
Mar 3, 2026$0.49
est $0.33
+48.5%$305.9M
est $304.3M
+0.5%+11.7%
Dec 2, 2025$0.31
est $0.32
−2.2%$301.1M
est $299.1M
+0.7%+9.6%
Aug 26, 2025$0.33
est $0.31
+6.5%$294.0M
est $298.9M
−1.6%+3.3%
May 27, 2025$0.30
est $0.26
+16.0%$276.3M
est $275.0M
+0.4%+18.6%
Mar 4, 2025$0.42
est $0.42
−0.6%$279.5M
est $276.9M
+0.9%−1.1%
Dec 3, 2024$0.45
est $0.42
+7.1%$275.9M
est $275.4M
+0.2%−9.5%
Aug 27, 2024$0.44
est $0.41
+7.3%$270.0M
est $269.2M
+0.3%+11.4%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Box stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Box is $38.71, +23.5% from the last close, from 8 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$38.71consensus 12-month target, +23.5% from the last close
Low $26High $50
Buy3
Hold4
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 8 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 18Morgan StanleyHold, reiterated$36+14.9%
Sep 10Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained——
Aug 26UBSHold, maintained$37+18.1%
Aug 26RBC CapitalSell, maintained$26−17.0%
Aug 26Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained$42+34.0%
+0.4%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+4.9%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Box seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Box averaged +4.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+9.3%2021+16.4%2022−0.6%2023−2.2%2024+1.2%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+5.5%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+4.0%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+4.2%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+4.9%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+6.6%4 of 5

For scale, BOX’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.3%.

Box market cap and key statistics

Box’s market cap is $4.34B, with a P/E ratio of 48.2 and revenue of $1.23B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$4.34B
P/E ratio
48.2
Forward P/E
17.6
EPS, TTM
$0.67
Gekko Fair Value
$32.89

Trading

Volume
2.33M
Avg volume, 20 days
2.71M
52-week high
$36.34
52-week low
$21.34
Shares outstanding
137.2M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.23B
Profit margin
10.6%
Return on equity
70.2%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+80.0%

Risk and income

Beta
0.74
Typical daily move
±3.2%
Typical 20-day move
±5.3%

Box peers

Box’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
IBMInternational Business Machines−0.8%Accumulation16.1% below
FTNTFortinet+3.3%Neutral32.5% above
NETCloudflare+4.3%Neutral22.9% above
ACNAccenture+0.6%Neutral9.7% below
WDAYWorkday+2.3%Neutral13.2% above
CRDOCredo Technology−6.5%Neutral19.0% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Box stock FAQ

What is Box’s market cap?

Box’s market cap is $4.34B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $31.34, with 137.2M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 48.2.

What is the Box stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Box is $38.71, +23.5% from the last close. Of the 8 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Box stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Box is about fair value: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $31.34 is 4.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $32.89. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Box report earnings next?

Box is expected to report on Dec 1, 2026, after the market closes (63 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.39 per share on revenue of $329.2M. Box beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 8.7% on average across the report.

What is Box’s 52-week high and low?

Box’s 52-week high is $36.34 and its 52-week low is $21.34; it closed at $31.34 on Sep 28, 2026, −3.0% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $38.80 on Jun 4, 2025.

Is Box stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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