NYSE: PSN

Parsons (PSN) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$41.60−1.47 (−3.4%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Parsons trades at $41.60, down 3.4% on the day, sitting below both its 50-day ($48.03) and 200-day ($56.28) averages, with returns of -15.6% over one month, -18.9% over three months, -20.8% over six months and -47.8% over the past year. The GekkoIndex reads 67.8, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Against this backdrop, the price sits 37.7% below the Gekko Fair Value of $66.73.

Over the next 20 trading days, the main marker is earnings, with the next report due 4 November 2026, 36 days away and outside a typical 20-trading-day hold. In the last 90 days there has been one open-market insider purchase, valued at $959,400. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point in the calendar have averaged a 3.8% move over 5 years, rising in 5 of them. Analyst coverage stands at 9 buy and 2 hold ratings among 11 firms, with a consensus target of $59.36, implying 42.7% consensus upside from current levels.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Parsons price vs fair value

$66.73$41.60Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $41.60200-day averageGekko Fair Value $66.73

Parsons quick facts

Market cap
$4.44B
P/E ratio
30.3
Forward P/E
14.7
EPS, TTM
$1.40
Revenue, TTM
$6.29B
Profit margin
2.5%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
0.70
Volume
1.25M avg 1.18M
1-year return
−47.8%
Typical daily move
±3.7%
Typical 20-day move
±5.4%
50-day average
$48.03
200-day average
$56.28
Next earnings
Nov 4 before open
Shares outstanding
106.8M
52-week range
$36.26$89.50

Parsons swing-trade checklist

Parsons scores 5 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

5 supportive0 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $41.60 is below the 50-day ($48.03) and 200-day ($56.28) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    67.8, Accumulation

    Reading 67.8 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    37.7% below

    Price is 37.7% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: 1 open-market insider purchase.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 36 days

    Next report Nov 4, 2026, 36 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +3.8% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.8% over 5 years, rising in 5 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Parsons stock chart and price history

Parsons closed at $41.60 on Sep 28, 2026, −47.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $36.26 to $89.50.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Parsons share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$50$60$70$80$90NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep41.60

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−15.6%
3 months
−18.9%
6 months
−20.8%
1 year
−47.8%
The full PSN chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open PSN in Gekko

Follow Parsons through every session

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About Parsons

Parsons supplies technology-driven solutions and services to defense, intelligence and infrastructure clients, with operations spanning North America, the Middle East and other international markets. It is particularly recognized for its work in cybersecurity, space and geospatial systems, and missile defense, supporting agencies such as the U.S. Department of Defense, the intelligence community, the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency, the National Reconnaissance Office and the Defense Intelligence Agency.

The business is structured around two segments. Federal Solutions covers cyber platforms, space and geospatial technology, missile defense and C5ISR systems, along with services touching energy, aviation, healthcare, bio-surveillance, nuclear waste processing and related program management. Critical Infrastructure addresses urban and public systems, including intelligent transportation, aviation, rail and transit solutions, smart city software and infrastructure cybersecurity, serving transportation authorities, rail and transit operators, private industrial companies and public utilities.

Shares of Parsons trade on the NYSE under the ticker PSN.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Technology services
Industry
Information technology services
Website
parsons.com

Parsons GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Parsons’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 67.8, in the Accumulation zone, up 1.7 points over five sessions.

010067.8Accumulation

Up 1.7 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying62−1.7%−1.8%−2.1%−2.4%
Accumulation (current zone)207+1.2%+1.5%+0.1%−4.3%
Neutral342−1.0%−1.4%−1.2%−0.9%
Distribution48+1.4%+2.2%+3.0%+1.0%
Selling13+3.6%+4.4%+8.6%+11.8%

Average PSN share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the PSN price, zone by zone.Track PSN in Gekko

Is Parsons stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Parsons trades 37.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $66.73, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Parsons shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$66.73

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

37.7% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open PSN in Gekko

Parsons insider and Congress trading

Insiders filed 1 open-market purchase in Parsons worth $959K, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

$959Kin 1 open-market purchase

FiledInsiderTypeSharesValue
Aug 10George L. Ball
Director
Purchase20,000$959K

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in PSN were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for PSN, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open PSN in Gekko

Buybacks

Parsons has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$15.00M
As a share of market cap
0.34%
Trailing four quarters
$135.0M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold PSN.

0added0opened0trimmed2sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Parsons earnings: next date and track record

Parsons reports on Nov 4, 2026, before the open (36 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±9.1%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+3.0%Oct ’24−15.7%Feb ’25−6.9%Apr ’25−0.2%Aug ’25+3.2%Nov ’25−10.7%Feb ’26−2.8%Apr ’26−30.4%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Parsons reported Q2 2026 results characterized by strong underlying core performance but punctuated by significant one-time charges and portfolio reshaping. Revenue was $1.6 billion, with normalized adjusted EBITDA margin above 10% and total backlog of $9.3 billion. Management disclosed $118 million of nonrecurring charges (a $77 million loss on remote contracts treated as held-for-sale and a $41 million joint-venture/weather-related charge), plus a $19 million gain from divesting two SETA contracts. Federal Solutions bookings were up 51% year-over-year and Middle East organic revenue grew ~10% with book-to-bill >1.0x. Management explained they are exiting certain low-margin or conflicted work (SETA and remote work) to focus on higher-margin development work, and they changed guidance (reduced revenue guidance by about $300 million) driven by portfolio divestitures ($85M) and timing/pass-through reductions (~$215M: ~$125M Critical Infrastructure, ~$90M Federal including protests and funding timing). Management emphasized derisking the portfolio, sustained demand, product ramp (Joint Cyber Hunt Kit production), and confidence in medium-term margin expansion and cash flow, while acknowledging macro and procurement timing headwinds (protests, funding delays, supply chain/staffing constraints, and regional conflict).
Guidance
Updated 2026 guidance includes a roughly $300 million reduction in revenue guidance (split: $85M from divestiture; ~$215M from timing and pass-through adjustments — ~$125M Critical Infrastructure and ~$90M Federal, with ~$20M tied to a protest). Management reiterated normalized adjusted EBITDA margin remaining above 10% and expects 10–20 bps margin expansion year-over-year. Sequential revenue guide: ~3% Q2→Q3 and modest increase Q3→Q4 (~$20M). Cash flow: line of sight to ~$350M cash in second half; product ramp (Joint Cyber Hunt Kit) moving to full-rate production with deliveries planned (62 units this year, 74 in 2027).
Risks flagged
Risk factors called out include: protest and procurement timing uncertainty in federal awards; funding timing and government budget uncertainty (NDAA, reconciliation, CRs); supply chain and staffing constraints (notably for remote work and product components like chips/memory); operational risk of remote or non-managing joint venture contracts; weather/extraneous event exposure (historic rainfall impact on JV); regional instability in the Middle East (though management reports current resilience); and the potential impact of a government shutdown (management believes limited near-term exposure due to backlog and non-federal mix).
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 29, 2026$0.69
est $0.66
+4.5%$1.58B
est $1.61B
−1.9%−30.4%
Apr 29, 2026$0.79
est $0.68
+16.2%$1.49B
est $1.50B
−0.6%−2.8%
Feb 11, 2026$0.75
est $0.80
−6.3%$1.60B
est $1.67B
−3.9%−10.7%
Nov 5, 2025$0.86
est $0.72
+19.4%$1.62B
est $1.68B
−3.5%+3.2%
Aug 6, 2025$0.78
est $0.74
+5.4%$1.58B
est $1.60B
−0.8%−0.2%
Apr 30, 2025$0.78
est $0.74
+5.4%$1.55B
est $1.63B
−4.4%−6.9%
Feb 19, 2025$0.78
est $0.91
−14.3%$1.73B
est $1.76B
−1.3%−15.7%
Oct 30, 2024$0.95
est $0.79
+20.3%$1.81B
est $1.74B
+3.9%+3.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Parsons stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Parsons is $59.36, +42.7% from the last close, from 11 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$59.36consensus 12-month target, +42.7% from the last close
Low $52High $72
Buy9
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 11 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 28TD CowenBuy, reiterated$72+73.1%
Sep 17Truist FinancialBuy, maintained——
Aug 21Robert W. BairdBuy, upgraded$57+37.0%
Aug 4William BlairBuy, maintained——
Aug 3Goldman SachsHold, maintained$60+44.2%
+0.1%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+3.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Parsons seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Parsons averaged +3.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 5 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+0.5%2021+13.5%2022+2.1%2023+1.0%2024+2.5%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+3.3%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+4.6%5 of 5
Next 15 trading days+5.1%5 of 5
Next 20 trading days+3.8%5 of 5
Next 30 trading days+12.4%5 of 5

For scale, PSN’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.4%.

Parsons market cap and key statistics

Parsons’s market cap is $4.44B, with a P/E ratio of 30.3 and revenue of $6.29B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$4.44B
P/E ratio
30.3
Forward P/E
14.7
EPS, TTM
$1.40
Gekko Fair Value
$66.73

Trading

Volume
1.25M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.18M
52-week high
$89.50
52-week low
$36.26
Shares outstanding
106.8M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$6.29B
Profit margin
2.5%
Return on equity
8.2%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−17.9%

Risk and income

Beta
0.70
Typical daily move
±3.7%
Typical 20-day move
±5.4%

Parsons peers

Parsons’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
IBMInternational Business Machines−0.8%Accumulation16.1% below
FTNTFortinet+3.3%Neutral32.5% above
NETCloudflare+4.3%Neutral22.9% above
ACNAccenture+0.6%Neutral9.7% below
WDAYWorkday+2.3%Neutral13.2% above
CRDOCredo Technology−6.5%Neutral19.0% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Parsons stock FAQ

What is Parsons’s market cap?

Parsons’s market cap is $4.44B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $41.60, with 106.8M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 30.3.

What is the Parsons stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Parsons is $59.36, +42.7% from the last close. Of the 11 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 9 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Parsons stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Parsons is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $41.60 is 37.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $66.73. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Parsons report earnings next?

Parsons is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026, before the market opens (36 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.81 per share on revenue of $1.63B. Parsons beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 9.1% on average across the report.

What is Parsons’s 52-week high and low?

Parsons’s 52-week high is $89.50 and its 52-week low is $36.26; it closed at $41.60 on Sep 28, 2026, −47.8% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $114.68 on Nov 6, 2024.

Is Parsons stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 5 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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