NASDAQ: ASTS

AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$61.00−0.81 (−1.3%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

A wave of securities class action notices dominates the week's headlines for AST SpaceMobile, with multiple law firms (Rosen, Robbins, Bronstein Gewirtz & Grossman, Kaplan Fox, Levi & Korsinsky) alerting investors to a November 13, 2026 lead plaintiff deadline tied to a lawsuit covering the period between March 4, 2025 and July 15, 2026. The underlying allegations concern capital sufficiency representations, with claims that escalating capital requirements drove roughly $3.0 billion in convertible note offerings and repeated dilution. Coverage also notes competition from SpaceX and elevated short interest contributing to volatility.

ASTS closed at $61.00, down 1.3%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $62.86 and 200-day average of $81.47, with the 50-day also below the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 58.4, placing the stock in the Neutral zone. Price sits 12.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $69.56.

The next earnings report is set for 9 November 2026 after close, 41 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day window. Smart money activity in the trailing 90 days shows 2 insider purchases totaling $579,757, alongside 5 unusual options signals in the last 30 days, with call premium of $6.3 million against put premium of $6.1 million. Seasonality over 5 years shows the next 20 trading days averaging a 2% gain, rising in 2 of those years. Analyst consensus stands at 6 buy and 5 hold ratings across 11 firms, with a consensus target of $79.61.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

AST SpaceMobile price vs fair value

$69.56$61.00Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $61.00200-day averageGekko Fair Value $69.56

AST SpaceMobile quick facts

Market cap
$24.82B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
—
EPS, TTM
−$2.15
Revenue, TTM
$115.3M
Profit margin
0%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
2.73
Volume
7.47M avg 9.54M
1-year return
+23.5%
Typical daily move
±6.1%
Typical 20-day move
±17.7%
50-day average
$62.86
200-day average
$81.47
Next earnings
Nov 9 after close
Shares outstanding
299.8M
52-week range
$47.50$133.86

AST SpaceMobile swing-trade checklist

AST SpaceMobile scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $61.00 is below the 50-day ($62.86) and 200-day ($81.47) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    58.4, Neutral

    Reading 58.4 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    12.3% below

    Price is 12.3% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: 2 open-market insider purchases. Last 30 days: 5 unusual options signals.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 41 days

    Next report Nov 9, 2026, 41 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +2.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +2% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

AST SpaceMobile stock chart and price history

AST SpaceMobile closed at $61.00 on Sep 28, 2026, +23.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $47.50 to $133.86.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
AST SpaceMobile share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$40$80$100$120NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep61.00

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−0.7%
3 months
−29.7%
6 months
−22.5%
1 year
+23.5%
The full ASTS chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ASTS in Gekko

Follow AST SpaceMobile through every session

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About AST SpaceMobile

AST SpaceMobile builds and runs a satellite network aimed at linking directly with ordinary mobile phones, without the need for special equipment. Its SpaceMobile service is meant to bring mobile internet to people in places that standard ground-based networks do not reach, including remote land areas, open water, and airborne travel.

The business centers on providing this broadband connectivity to users who would otherwise have no terrestrial coverage option, extending phone-based internet access to underserved or hard-to-reach populations across different environments.

AST SpaceMobile is based in Midland, Texas, and its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker ASTS.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Communications
Industry
Specialty telecommunications
Website
ast-science.com

AST SpaceMobile GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

AST SpaceMobile’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 58.4, in the Neutral zone, down 1.5 points over five sessions.

010058.4Neutral

Down 1.5 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying24+3.6%+10.8%+26.0%+40.7%
Accumulation239Not available
Neutral (current zone)348+3.0%+7.1%+16.6%+42.8%
Distribution54+6.7%+12.7%+17.8%+39.1%
Selling7Too few readings yet

Average ASTS share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ASTS price, zone by zone.Track ASTS in Gekko

Is AST SpaceMobile stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

AST SpaceMobile trades 12.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $69.56, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what AST SpaceMobile shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$69.56

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

12.3% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ASTS in Gekko

AST SpaceMobile insider and Congress trading

Insiders filed 2 open-market purchases in AST SpaceMobile worth $580K, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

$580Kin 2 open-market purchases

FiledInsiderTypeSharesValue
Sep 1Cisneros Adriana
director
Purchase8,768$500K
Sep 1Cisneros Adriana
director
Purchase1,384$80K

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in ASTS were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for ASTS, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ASTS in Gekko

Buybacks

AST SpaceMobile has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2025
$855.5M
As a share of market cap
3.45%

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

5signals, 51% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bearish flow on Sep 12, $1.23M in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

3of the funds Gekko tracks hold ASTS.

0added1opened2trimmed2sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

AST SpaceMobile earnings: next date and track record

AST SpaceMobile reports on Nov 9, 2026, after the close (41 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 0 of its last 8 reports.

0 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.3%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−13.1%Nov ’24+5.5%Mar ’25+3.1%May ’25+6.7%Aug ’25−1.9%Nov ’25+17.0%Mar ’26−2.8%May ’26−0.4%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 10, 2026 AI summary

What they said
AST SpaceMobile reported Q2 2026 business update highlighting continued network buildout of their space-based direct-to-device cellular broadband platform. Key developments include a pending ~$1 billion non-dilutive government capital award through Japan's J-LEO program with Rakuten, ongoing FirstNet/AT&T partnership, and an expanding TAM across government, IoT, AI edge compute, and radar. The company emphasizes a spectrum portfolio covering ~1,150 MHz tunable range and 3,900+ patents as competitive moats.
Guidance
Management highlighted the J-LEO award representing up to ~$1 billion in non-dilutive, non-debt government capital pending approvals. Expanding TAM across government and commercial verticals signals revenue diversification; no specific financial targets or EPS guidance were provided in this excerpt.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 10, 2026−$0.44
est −$0.28
−57.1%$31.52M
est $34.53M
−8.7%−0.4%
May 11, 2026−$0.66
est −$0.25
−158.8%$14.74M
est $39.01M
−62.2%−2.8%
Mar 2, 2026−$0.26
est −$0.18
−44.4%$54.31M
est $41.77M
+30.0%+17.0%
Nov 10, 2025−$0.45
est −$0.39
−15.9%$14.74M
est $22.04M
−33.1%−1.9%
Aug 11, 2025−$0.41
est −$0.19
−113.9%$1.16M
est $6.68M
−82.7%+6.7%
May 12, 2025−$0.20
est −$0.19
−3.1%$718K
est $4.04M
−82.2%+3.1%
Mar 3, 2025−$0.18
est −$0.14
−28.6%$1.92M
est $2.38M
−19.5%+5.5%
Nov 14, 2024−$0.24
est −$0.20
−18.5%$1.10M
est $1.80M
−38.9%−13.1%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

AST SpaceMobile stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for AST SpaceMobile is $79.61, +30.5% from the last close, from 11 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$79.61consensus 12-month target, +30.5% from the last close
Low $50.80High $115
Buy6
Hold5
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 11 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 8William BlairHold, maintained——
Sep 2Berenberg BankBuy, initiated$92+50.8%
Sep 1Berenberg BankBuy, initiated$92+50.8%
Aug 12Deutsche Bank Hold, maintained$93+52.5%
Aug 11Clear StreetBuy, maintained$115+88.5%
+16.6%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+2.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±6.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

AST SpaceMobile seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 26, AST SpaceMobile averaged +2.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−11.0%2021−15.7%2022−21.2%2023+5.2%2024+50.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+4.5%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days+9.1%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+13.8%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+2.0%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+8.9%3 of 5

For scale, ASTS’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 17.7%.

AST SpaceMobile market cap and key statistics

AST SpaceMobile’s market cap is $24.82B and revenue of $115.3M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$24.82B
EPS, TTM
−$2.15
Gekko Fair Value
$69.56

Trading

Volume
7.47M
Avg volume, 20 days
9.54M
52-week high
$133.86
52-week low
$47.50
Shares outstanding
299.8M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$115.3M
Profit margin
0%
Return on equity
-45.6%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
0.0%

Risk and income

Beta
2.73
Typical daily move
±6.1%
Typical 20-day move
±17.7%

AST SpaceMobile peers

AST SpaceMobile’s 3 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
IRDMIridium Communications+0.7%Neutral21.5% below
ITRNIturan Location and Control+0.6%Accumulation23.4% below
TSATTelesat−0.5%Neutral26.9% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

AST SpaceMobile stock FAQ

What is AST SpaceMobile’s market cap?

AST SpaceMobile’s market cap is $24.82B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $61.00, with 299.8M shares outstanding.

What is the AST SpaceMobile stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for AST SpaceMobile is $79.61, +30.5% from the last close. Of the 11 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is AST SpaceMobile stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate AST SpaceMobile is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $61.00 is 12.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $69.56. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does AST SpaceMobile report earnings next?

AST SpaceMobile is expected to report on Nov 9, 2026, after the market closes (41 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.40 per share on revenue of $47.94M. AST SpaceMobile beat the earnings estimate in 0 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.3% on average across the report.

What is AST SpaceMobile’s 52-week high and low?

AST SpaceMobile’s 52-week high is $133.86 and its 52-week low is $47.50; it closed at $61.00 on Sep 28, 2026, +23.5% over the past year.

Is AST SpaceMobile stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (fair value, smart money and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (gekkoindex and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in AST SpaceMobile?

Gekko flagged 5 unusual options signals in AST SpaceMobile over the last 30 days, with $6.28M of flagged premium in calls and $6.06M in puts. The latest, bearish flow, was on Sep 12, 2026 with $1.23M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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