NYSE: TU

Telus (TU) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$8.36−0.12 (−1.4%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Telus this week is dominated by balance-sheet and strategy news rather than operating results: the company cut its quarterly dividend by 55% as it works to improve free cash flow and reduce debt by 2028, and S&P Global revised its outlook on Telus to stable from positive while affirming a 'BBB-' rating, citing higher leverage tied to revised 2026 guidance. Alongside this, new CFO Gopi Chande outlined a sharpened focus on telecom and AI data infrastructure while reviewing digital and health assets that may sit better under different ownership, and Argus lowered its target price on the stock to $8.00.

The stock closed at $8.36, down 1.4% on the day, sitting below both its 50-day average of $9.60 and its 200-day average of $11.90, with the 50-day below the 200-day. Trailing returns are negative across horizons, including a one-month decline of 14.3% and a one-year decline of 46.6%. The GekkoIndex reads 73.3, placing TU in the Buying zone, while the gap to Gekko Fair Value of $15.53 stands at -46.2%.

Over the next 20 trading days, the main scheduled event is the 6 November earnings report, 38 days out and beyond that window; the prior report on 31 July showed adjusted EPS of $0.16 against a $0.22 prior figure and an 11% reaction. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Seasonality over the past 5 years shows an average 20-day return of -1.1% from this point in the calendar, with gains in 2 of those years.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Telus price vs fair value

$15.53$8.36Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $8.36200-day averageGekko Fair Value $15.53

Telus quick facts

Market cap
$13.05B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
15.7
EPS, TTM
−$0.42
Revenue, TTM
$20.21B
Profit margin
-4.5%
Dividend yield
19.70%
Beta
0.73
Volume
6.25M avg 5.63M
1-year return
−46.6%
Typical daily move
±2.4%
Typical 20-day move
±4.2%
50-day average
$9.60
200-day average
$11.90
Next earnings
Nov 6
Shares outstanding
1.58B
52-week range
$8.30$15.85

Telus swing-trade checklist

Telus scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $8.36 is below the 50-day ($9.60) and 200-day ($11.90) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    73.3, Buying

    Reading 73.3 is in the Buying zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    46.2% below

    Price is 46.2% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 38 days

    Next report Nov 6, 2026, 38 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −1.1% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −1.1% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Telus stock chart and price history

Telus closed at $8.36 on Sep 28, 2026, −46.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $8.30 to $15.85.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Telus share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$10$12$14$16NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep8.36

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−14.3%
3 months
−22.5%
6 months
−34.4%
1 year
−46.6%
The full TU chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open TU in Gekko

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About Telus

Telus is a telecommunications provider serving customers in Canada and abroad, supplying mobile and landline voice and data connections to households and businesses. It has built a presence beyond core connectivity by supporting agriculture and consumer goods clients with software, data analytics tools tied to food supply chains, and related equipment sales, in addition to its more familiar offerings like internet access, television, hosting, cloud computing, and home or business security systems.

The business runs through three segments. One handles broad technology and communications services, another, Telus Health, focuses on healthcare offerings plus software for workplace assistance programs and benefits administration, and the third, Telus Digital Experience, works on customer experience platforms, digital transformation projects for IT and service systems, trust and safety tools, and artificial intelligence applications, including generative AI used in customer service settings.

Telus traces back to 1998, when it was incorporated, and it once carried the name Telus Communications Inc. before switching to its present name in 2005. Its headquarters are located in Vancouver, Canada, and its stock trades on the NYSE under the ticker TU.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Communications
Industry
Wireless telecommunications
Website
telus.com

Telus GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Telus’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 73.3, in the Buying zone, down 0.7 points over five sessions.

010073.3Buying

Down 0.7 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying (current zone)88−0.4%−0.8%−0.5%+0.1%
Accumulation307−0.8%−1.4%−2.8%−6.4%
Neutral265−0.2%−0.5%−1.0%−3.4%
Distribution11−1.5%−3.5%−7.5%−2.4%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average TU share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the TU price, zone by zone.Track TU in Gekko

Is Telus stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Telus trades 46.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $15.53, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Telus shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$15.53

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

46.2% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open TU in Gekko

Telus insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Telus, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for TU in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every TU insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TU in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in TU were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for TU, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TU in Gekko

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold TU.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Telus earnings: next date and track record

Telus reports on Nov 6, 2026 (38 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.

3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.7%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+3.8%Nov ’24+5.4%Feb ’25+6.7%May ’25−2.2%Aug ’25+1.1%Nov ’25−5.3%Feb ’26−2.4%May ’26−11.0%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 31, 2026 AI summary

What they said
TELUS presented Q2 2026 results and an initial strategic reset under new CEO Victor Dodig and CFO Gopi Chande. Consolidated service revenue was $4.4 billion (down 1% YoY) and adjusted EBITDA was $1.8 billion (down 2%). Basic EPS was negative due to a TELUS Digital impairment; adjusted EPS was $0.16 (down from $0.22). Cash from operations rose 15% and free cash flow was $545 million (up 2%). Management emphasized a transformation focused on financial discipline, simplification, deleveraging through asset monetization, and prioritizing investments in core telecom and digital infrastructure (including sovereign AI data centers). They announced a dividend reset to improve balance sheet flexibility and outlined targets to reduce leverage to 3x or lower by end of 2028 and deliver a minimum 10% compounded annual free cash flow in 2027 (and a commitment to ~10% FCF growth 2026–28 off an updated $1.8B base). Management acknowledged headwinds from TELUS Digital, weaker-than-expected Health performance, paused real estate JV gains, and some telecom (fixed/business) pressure while highlighting improving mobility revenues and promising pockets in CXAI and AI/data solutions. They signaled further detail on cost savings, asset monetizations and a cost transformation program at Q3 2026.
Guidance
Updated 2026 guidance (revised downward overall): service revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance narrowed with a roughly 5 percentage point differential between prior low-end guidance and the midpoint of the revised guidance. Management outlined specific targets: reduce net leverage to 3.0x or lower by end of 2028; deliver minimum 10% compounded annual free cash flow in 2027 and target ~10% FCF growth for the 2026–2028 period off the updated $1.8B base; paused new real estate joint ventures (reducing expected JV gains); no detailed numeric FY 2026 EBITDA/EBIT guidance disclosed on the call beyond segment discussions (TELUS Digital and Health reduce ~2 points of the revision, real estate pause ~1 point, telecom ~1 point). Management committed to provide further guidance (cost savings, monetization targets, data center economics) at Q3.
Risks flagged
TELUS Digital goodwill/impairment and churn; weaker TELUS Health performance; paused real estate JV gains reducing expected other income; fixed/business telecom pressure and indirect cost headwinds; competitive pressure on ARPU and consumer pricing; execution risk on asset monetization and transformation; capital intensity and potential returns on AI/data-center investments; macro/regulatory uncertainty impacting timing and pricing of monetizations.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 31, 2026$0.12
est $0.16
−25.0%$3.47B
est $3.55B
−2.4%−11.0%
May 8, 2026$0.17
est $0.17
0.0%$3.60B
est $3.64B
−1.0%−2.4%
Feb 12, 2026$0.14
est $0.15
−6.7%$3.83B
est $3.93B
−2.4%−5.3%
Nov 7, 2025$0.17
est $0.19
−10.5%$3.63B
est $3.85B
−5.6%+1.1%
Aug 1, 2025$0.16
est $0.17
−5.9%$3.69B
est $3.78B
−2.3%−2.2%
May 9, 2025$0.18
est $0.15
+20.0%$3.52B
est $3.64B
−3.1%+6.7%
Feb 13, 2025$0.18
est $0.15
+20.0%$3.70B
est $3.53B
+4.9%+5.4%
Nov 8, 2024$0.21
est $0.17
+18.8%$3.72B
est $3.73B
−0.3%+3.8%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Telus stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Telus is $10.33, +23.6% from the last close.

$10.33consensus 12-month target, +23.6% from the last close
−0.5%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
−1.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Telus seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Telus averaged −1.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+4.4%2021+3.7%2022−2.9%2023−3.8%2024−5.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−0.7%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−0.9%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−1.1%1 of 5
Next 20 trading days−1.1%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+1.4%3 of 5

For scale, TU’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.2%.

Telus market cap and key statistics

Telus’s market cap is $13.05B and revenue of $20.21B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$13.05B
Forward P/E
15.7
EPS, TTM
−$0.42
Gekko Fair Value
$15.53

Trading

Volume
6.25M
Avg volume, 20 days
5.63M
52-week high
$15.85
52-week low
$8.30
Shares outstanding
1.58B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$20.21B
Profit margin
-4.5%
Return on equity
-6.4%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−58.5%

Risk and income

Beta
0.73
Typical daily move
±2.4%
Typical 20-day move
±4.2%
Dividend yield
19.70%

Telus stock news this week

Coverage of Telus this week reads negative: 0 positive, 2 neutral and 4 negative headlines.

News sentiment negative

Telus peers

Telus’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
VZVerizon Communications−0.8%Accumulation29.3% below
TMUST-Mobile US+0.5%Accumulation28.4% below
TAT&T−2.0%Accumulation36.5% below
RCIRogers Communication−1.0%Buying39.9% below
TIGOMillicom International Cellular−2.4%Accumulation16.6% below
GSATGlobalstar−0.3%Neutral3.3% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Telus stock FAQ

What is Telus’s market cap?

Telus’s market cap is $13.05B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $8.36, with 1.58B shares outstanding.

What is the Telus stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Telus is $10.33, +23.6% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Telus stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Telus is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $8.36 is 46.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $15.53. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Telus report earnings next?

Telus is expected to report on Nov 6, 2026 (38 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.12 per share on revenue of $3.52B. Telus beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.7% on average across the report.

What is Telus’s 52-week high and low?

Telus’s 52-week high is $15.85 and its 52-week low is $8.30; it closed at $8.36 on Sep 28, 2026, −46.6% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $27.50 on Apr 8, 2022.

Is Telus stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk) and 2 as headwinds (trend and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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