NASDAQ: ABCL

AbCellera Biologics (ABCL) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$13.92+1.22 (+9.6%)

Gekko Brief

AbCellera Biologics closed at $13.92 on 28 September 2026, +9.6% on the day. The price sits above both the 50-day ($9.85) and 200-day ($5.77) moving averages, inside a 52-week range of $2.75 to $14.23. The GekkoIndex reads 43.5, in the Distribution zone, down 3.4 points over five sessions. Gekko Fair Value is $12.58, so the price is 10.7% above it.

The next earnings report is due on 5 November 2026, 37 days away (after close). Over the last 8 reports the company beat the earnings estimate 5 times, with an average move of 6.3% across the report. Smart-money activity over the last 90 days includes 4 open-market insider purchases. Over the last 30 days there was 1 unusual options signal. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point averaged -0.8% over the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

8 firms rate the stock: 7 buy, 1 hold and 0 sell, with a consensus target of $16.67. A typical daily move is about 5.5%, and a typical 20-day move about 12.2%. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 items read supportive and 2 read as a headwind (gekkoindex, fair value).

Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

AbCellera Biologics price vs fair value

$13.92$12.58Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $13.92200-day averageGekko Fair Value $12.58

AbCellera Biologics quick facts

Market cap
$4.25B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
27.6
EPS, TTM
−$0.54
Revenue, TTM
$66.17M
Profit margin
-248.8%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.32
Volume
7.77M avg 4.36M
1-year return
+199.4%
Typical daily move
±5.5%
Typical 20-day move
±12.2%
50-day average
$9.85
200-day average
$5.77
Next earnings
Nov 5 after close
Shares outstanding
324.0M
52-week range
$2.75$14.23

AbCellera Biologics swing-trade checklist

AbCellera Biologics scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $13.92 is above the 50-day ($9.85) and 200-day ($5.77) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexheadwind

    43.5, Distribution

    Reading 43.5 is in the Distribution zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    10.7% above

    Price is 10.7% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: 4 open-market insider purchases. Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 37 days

    Next report Nov 5, 2026, 37 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    −0.8% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −0.8% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

AbCellera Biologics stock chart and price history

AbCellera Biologics closed at $13.92 on Sep 28, 2026, +199.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $2.75 to $14.23.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
AbCellera Biologics share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$5$10NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep13.92

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+12.3%
3 months
+71.4%
6 months
+325.7%
1 year
+199.4%
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About AbCellera Biologics

AbCellera Biologics develops a technology platform aimed at finding antibodies that can be turned into new pharmaceutical drugs. The system relies on artificial intelligence to study natural immune responses and pick out antibody candidates with therapeutic potential. This search-and-discovery work for drug-worthy antibodies is the core of what the company is recognized for.

The business operates through discovery programs carried out with outside partners, some finished and others still underway or under contract. As of the end of 2021 it had built up 156 such programs across 36 partner organizations. Among these relationships is a research collaboration and license agreement with Eli Lilly and Company, which stands out as a named partner in its work.

AbCellera was founded in 2012 and is based in Vancouver, Canada. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker ABCL.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Health technology
Industry
Biotechnology
Website
abcellera.com

AbCellera Biologics GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

AbCellera Biologics’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 43.5, in the Distribution zone, down 3.4 points over five sessions.

010043.5Distribution

Down 3.4 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying42−0.4%+1.4%+0.3%−7.1%
Accumulation237+1.6%+4.7%+10.7%+10.7%
Neutral339+1.3%+1.4%+1.6%+14.4%
Distribution (current zone)44+0.2%+1.8%+8.1%+13.7%
Selling10+5.4%+6.3%+3.7%−6.8%

Average ABCL share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Distribution readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Distribution zone: Institutions potentially offloading. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ABCL price, zone by zone.Track ABCL in Gekko

Is AbCellera Biologics stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

AbCellera Biologics trades 10.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $12.58, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what AbCellera Biologics shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$12.58

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

10.7% Overvalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ABCL in Gekko

AbCellera Biologics insider and Congress trading

Insiders filed 4 open-market purchases in AbCellera Biologics worth $1.55M, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

$1.55Min 4 open-market purchases

FiledInsiderTypeSharesValue
Aug 24Hayden Michael R
director
Purchase53,613$570K
Aug 18John S. Montalbano
Director
Purchase10,000$110K
Aug 14Michael R Hayden
Director
Purchase46,387$481K
Aug 14Andrew Booth
Chief Financial Officer
Purchase37,200$384K

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in ABCL were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for ABCL, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ABCL in Gekko

Buybacks

AbCellera Biologics has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2024
$1.58M
As a share of market cap
0.04%

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

1signal, 77% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 18, $373K in unusual premium.

Every signal with its contract, strike and premium.Unlock in Gekko

AbCellera Biologics earnings: next date and track record

AbCellera Biologics reports on Nov 5, 2026, after the close (37 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.

5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.3%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−0.4%Nov ’24−11.3%Feb ’25+1.0%May ’25+3.2%Aug ’25−16.6%Nov ’25+5.3%Feb ’26−5.5%May ’26+7.2%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary

What they said
AbCellera's Q2 2026 earnings call focused primarily on clinical progress, particularly the impending Phase II topline readout for ABCL635 (an antibody targeting NK3R for treatment of moderate to severe vasomotor symptoms (VMS) associated with menopause). Management emphasized rapid enrollment and dosing completion, expecting topline data soon and highlighted potential of ABCL635 to be differentiated on safety (no liver enzyme signal, no somnolence) and convenience (monthly dosing). Other pipeline updates: ABCL-688 and ABCL-386 are in IND-enabling activities with expected Phase I/II starts in 2027; ABCL575 completed dosing with a readout expected in Q4; one internal program missed a H1 IND-enabling milestone but progress continues. Management also discussed T-cell engager (TCE) platform progress and partnerships (Vertex, Jazz), and cash position: ~$567M cash and marketable securities, ~$110M committed government funding; Q2 revenue approx $4M (mostly research fees) vs $17M prior year; R&D expense ~$46M (up ~$7M YoY); SG&A approx $14M (down from $22M YoY); net loss ~$55M (~$0.18/share) vs ~$35M prior year. Received $56M upfront from Jazz in the quarter. Operations: focus on internal programs and leveraging process development/clinical manufacturing investments, reduced SG&A due to IP litigation conclusion and organizational changes.
Guidance
No formal financial guidance was provided. Clinical guidance: expected top-line Phase II readout for ABCL635 very soon; ABCL-688 and ABCL-386 expected to enter Phase I/II studies in 2027; ABCL575 readout expected in Q4 2026. No revenue/profit/margin guidance.
Risks flagged
Risks mentioned include standard clinical and regulatory risks (Phase II readout uncertainty; remaining scientific risk around target engagement in specific hypothalamic nuclei), potential placebo response in VMS trials, sequencing and timing risks (missed internal milestone for IND-enabling), and general SEC/disclosure safe-harbor and Form 10-K/10-Q risk references. No new material financial risks disclosed beyond usual operational and clinical-development risks.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 5, 2026−$0.18
est −$0.17
−5.9%$4.05M
est $7.85M
−48.4%+7.2%
May 11, 2026−$0.14
est −$0.20
+30.0%$8.32M
est $5.41M
+53.6%−5.5%
Feb 24, 2026−$0.03
est −$0.14
+79.2%$44.90M
est $6.67M
+572.9%+5.3%
Nov 6, 2025−$0.19
est −$0.17
−11.8%$8.96M
est $6.31M
+41.9%−16.6%
Aug 7, 2025−$0.12
est −$0.17
+29.4%$17.08M
est $6.36M
+168.6%+3.2%
May 8, 2025−$0.15
est −$0.17
+11.8%$4.24M
est $7.31M
−42.1%+1.0%
Feb 27, 2025−$0.11
est −$0.15
+26.7%$5.05M
est $7.58M
−33.4%−11.3%
Nov 4, 2024−$0.17
est −$0.14
−21.4%$6.51M
est $7.58M
−14.1%−0.4%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

AbCellera Biologics stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for AbCellera Biologics is $16.67, +19.8% from the last close, from 8 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$16.67consensus 12-month target, +19.8% from the last close
Low $9High $30
Buy7
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 8 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 27JonesTradingBuy, reiterated$25+79.6%
Sep 24Goldman SachsHold, initiated$13−6.6%
Sep 2Truist FinancialBuy, reiterated$30+115.5%
Aug 17BMO CapitalBuy, maintained$15+7.8%
Aug 11Truist FinancialBuy, reiterated$30+115.5%
+8.1%average 20-day move after past Distribution readings
−0.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±5.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

AbCellera Biologics seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, AbCellera Biologics averaged −0.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−21.0%2021+9.0%2022−15.0%2023+11.2%2024+18.5%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.6%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−0.6%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+1.8%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days−0.8%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days−4.4%2 of 5

For scale, ABCL’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 12.2%.

AbCellera Biologics market cap and key statistics

AbCellera Biologics’s market cap is $4.25B and revenue of $66.17M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$4.25B
Forward P/E
27.6
EPS, TTM
−$0.54
Gekko Fair Value
$12.58

Trading

Volume
7.77M
Avg volume, 20 days
4.36M
52-week high
$14.23
52-week low
$2.75
Shares outstanding
324.0M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$66.17M
Profit margin
-248.8%
Return on equity
-17.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+45.9%

Risk and income

Beta
1.32
Typical daily move
±5.5%
Typical 20-day move
±12.2%

AbCellera Biologics stock news this week

Coverage of AbCellera Biologics this week reads neutral: 2 positive, 5 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

AbCellera Biologics peers

AbCellera Biologics’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
AMGNAmgen+1.6%Neutral24.4% below
GILDGilead Sciences+1.6%Neutral6.9% above
MRNAModerna+1.1%Neutral73.2% above
NTRANatera+0.7%Distribution25.1% above
IQVIQVIA+1.7%Neutral14.2% above
UTHRUnited Therapeutics+2.5%Accumulation23.6% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

AbCellera Biologics stock FAQ

What is AbCellera Biologics’s market cap?

AbCellera Biologics’s market cap is $4.25B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $13.92, with 324.0M shares outstanding.

What is the AbCellera Biologics stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for AbCellera Biologics is $16.67, +19.8% from the last close. Of the 8 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 7 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is AbCellera Biologics stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate AbCellera Biologics is overvalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $13.92 is 10.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $12.58. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does AbCellera Biologics report earnings next?

AbCellera Biologics is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026, after the market closes (37 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.18 per share on revenue of $6.61M. AbCellera Biologics beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.3% on average across the report.

What is AbCellera Biologics’s 52-week high and low?

AbCellera Biologics’s 52-week high is $14.23 and its 52-week low is $2.75; it closed at $13.92 on Sep 28, 2026, +199.4% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $20.68 on Sep 28, 2021.

Is AbCellera Biologics stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (trend, smart money and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (gekkoindex and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in AbCellera Biologics?

Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in AbCellera Biologics over the last 30 days, with $287K of flagged premium in calls and $86K in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 18, 2026 with $373K in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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