TIM (TIMB) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$17.64−0.52 (−2.9%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

TIM's shares this week were shaped by corporate structure news: Poste Italiane completed its acquisition of a controlling interest in Telecom Italia, taking an approximate 66.6% stake and becoming the indirect controlling shareholder of TIM Brasil, with an associated tender offer reopened from September 21 to September 25. Alongside this, TIM S.A. approved the cancellation of 13.2 million treasury shares and a shareholder payout of R$515 million as interest on shareholders' equity, R$0.2166801148 per share, with an eligibility cutoff of September 22, 2026 and payment expected by January 22, 2027.

The stock closed at $17.64, down 2.9% on the day, and sits below both its 50-day average of $18.79 and its 200-day average of $22.41, with the 50-day below the 200-day. Six-month returns stand at -30.9% and the one-year return is -17.1%, with the 52-week range spanning $17.14 to $28.22. The GekkoIndex reads 69.2, placing TIM in the Accumulation zone, while the gap to Gekko Fair Value of $33.26 stands at -47%.

The next earnings date falls on 3 November 2026, after close, 35 days away and outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report on 27 July 2026 showed EPS of $0.43 against an estimate of $0.37, with a -7.1% reaction. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in their respective windows. Seasonality from this point in the calendar shows the next 20 trading days averaging -0.6% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them, a pattern worth noting alongside the ownership transition now underway at the parent level.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

TIM price vs fair value

$33.26$17.64Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $17.64200-day averageGekko Fair Value $33.26

TIM quick facts

Market cap
$8.43B
P/E ratio
10.4
Forward P/E
8
EPS, TTM
$1.76
Revenue, TTM
$27.40B
Profit margin
15.8%
Dividend yield
8.59%
Beta
0.11
Volume
338,702 avg 472,551
1-year return
−17.1%
Typical daily move
±2.4%
Typical 20-day move
±5.7%
50-day average
$18.79
200-day average
$22.41
Next earnings
Nov 3 after close
Shares outstanding
475.1M
52-week range
$17.14$28.22

TIM swing-trade checklist

TIM scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $17.64 is below the 50-day ($18.79) and 200-day ($22.41) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    69.2, Accumulation

    Reading 69.2 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    47.0% below

    Price is 47% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 35 days

    Next report Nov 3, 2026, 35 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    −0.6% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −0.6% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

TIM stock chart and price history

TIM closed at $17.64 on Sep 28, 2026, −17.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $17.14 to $28.22.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
TIM share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$20$25NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep17.64

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−0.7%
3 months
−18.3%
6 months
−30.9%
1 year
−17.1%
The full TIMB chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open TIMB in Gekko

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About TIM

TIM operates as a telecom business serving customers throughout Brazil, offering mobile calling and data plans together with broadband internet access. Its lineup extends to fixed ultra-broadband under the TIM Live name, wireless fiber-like connections branded Ultrafibra, and connected-device solutions built on Internet of Things technology. The company had grown its subscriber count to roughly 52.6 million by the end of 2021.

Beyond connectivity, TIM sells bundled digital content within its plans and moves handsets and accessories through a mix of its own retail locations, franchise partners, and independent resellers. It serves everyday consumers as well as businesses of varying sizes, shaping corporate packages for small, medium, and large enterprise clients. The company additionally handles co-billing arrangements on behalf of other telecom carriers, and it functions as a subsidiary within the TIM Brasil Serviços e Participações S.A. structure.

TIM keeps its main offices in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Its stock is listed under the ticker TIMB.

Sector
Communications
Website
tim.com.br

TIM GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

TIM’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 69.2, in the Accumulation zone, up 12.3 points over five sessions.

010069.2Accumulation

Up 12.3 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying61−0.4%−1.4%−0.3%−1.8%
Accumulation (current zone)199−0.4%−0.2%0.0%+2.4%
Neutral335+0.7%+1.0%+1.5%+2.4%
Distribution30−2.2%−1.6%−2.5%+3.2%
Selling0Not available

Average TIMB share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the TIMB price, zone by zone.Track TIMB in Gekko

Is TIM stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

TIM trades 47.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $33.26, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what TIM shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$33.26

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

47.0% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open TIMB in Gekko

TIM insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for TIM, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for TIMB in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every TIMB insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TIMB in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in TIMB were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for TIMB, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TIMB in Gekko

TIM earnings: next date and track record

TIM reports on Nov 3, 2026, after the close (35 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.

4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.7%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+7.2%Jul ’24−0.7%Nov ’24+0.4%Mar ’25+2.7%Jul ’25+0.7%Nov ’25+7.2%Feb ’26−3.4%May ’26−7.1%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 27, 2026 AI summary

What they said
TIM S.A. reported Q2 2026 revenue approaching BRL 4 billion, with H1 service revenue growing ~6% YoY. EBITDA grew ~7% in H1, EBITDA after lease up ~8%. Net income surpassed BRL 1 billion in Q2, up ~6% YoY. Operating cash flow exceeded BRL 3 billion in H1 at double-digit growth. Strategic initiatives include TIM Ultra Combo convergent offer, TIM Play content platform, PicPay financial services partnership, and AI-driven collections with 2M+ customers engaged.
Guidance
No explicit financial targets or guidance ranges were provided in this excerpt. Management signaled continued focus on disciplined growth, margin expansion, and revenue diversification. The I-Systems acquisition is positioned as an accelerator for broadband strategy with incremental CapEx implications not yet quantified.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 27, 2026$0.43
est $0.37
+16.2%$1.36B
est $1.36B
+0.2%−7.1%
May 5, 2026$0.35
est $0.38
−7.9%$1.38B
est $1.32B
+4.6%−3.4%
Feb 10, 2026$0.54
est $0.45
+20.9%——+7.2%
Nov 3, 2025$0.47
est $0.37
+26.1%——+0.7%
Jul 30, 2025$0.36
est $0.33
+9.1%——+2.7%
Mar 28, 2025$0.37
est $0.40
−7.5%$1.07B—+0.4%
Nov 5, 2024$0.28
est $0.32
−12.5%$1.17B
est $1.05B
+12.0%−0.7%
Jul 30, 2024$0.28
est $0.32
−12.5%$1.13B
est $1.13B
−0.4%+7.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

TIM stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for TIM is $24.24, +37.4% from the last close, from 2 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$24.24consensus 12-month target, +37.4% from the last close
Low $22High $24
Buy0
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 2 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 20Morgan StanleyHold, maintained$22+24.7%
Aug 7BarclaysHold, maintained$24+36.1%
Jul 29BarclaysHold, maintained$24+36.1%
Jul 10BarclaysHold, maintained$24+36.1%
0.0%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−0.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

TIM seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, TIM averaged −0.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−5.7%2021+9.9%2022+0.7%2023−12.0%2024+6.3%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−1.0%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−1.8%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+0.8%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days−0.6%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+5.2%4 of 5

For scale, TIMB’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.7%.

TIM market cap and key statistics

TIM’s market cap is $8.43B, with a P/E ratio of 10.4 and revenue of $27.40B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$8.43B
P/E ratio
10.4
Forward P/E
8
EPS, TTM
$1.76
Gekko Fair Value
$33.26

Trading

Volume
338,702
Avg volume, 20 days
472,551
52-week high
$28.22
52-week low
$17.14
Shares outstanding
475.1M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$27.40B
Profit margin
15.8%
Return on equity
17.2%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+2.5%

Risk and income

Beta
0.11
Typical daily move
±2.4%
Typical 20-day move
±5.7%
Dividend yield
8.59%

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TIM stock FAQ

What is TIM’s market cap?

TIM’s market cap is $8.43B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $17.64, with 475.1M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 10.4.

What is the TIM stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for TIM is $24.24, +37.4% from the last close. Of the 2 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 0 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is TIM stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate TIM is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $17.64 is 47.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $33.26. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does TIM report earnings next?

TIM is expected to report on Nov 3, 2026, after the market closes (35 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.47 per share on revenue of $1.36B. TIM beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.7% on average across the report.

What is TIM’s 52-week high and low?

TIM’s 52-week high is $28.22 and its 52-week low is $17.14; it closed at $17.64 on Sep 28, 2026, −17.1% over the past year.

Is TIM stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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