D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater (SBSW) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$10.14−0.47 (−4.4%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Gold mining stocks broadly fell at the open this week, with SBSW down over 6% in that session, part of a decline that has drawn attention after a 29.3% drop in the second quarter noted in a fund letter. Sibanye-Stillwater's most recent results, reported 1 September, showed earnings per share of $1.34 against an estimate of $1.26, with management pointing to its refreshed strategy focused on operating margins, cost control, production optimization and portfolio simplification.

SBSW closed at $10.14, down 4.4% on the day, sitting below both its 50-day average of $10.86 and its 200-day average of $12.65, with the shorter average also below the longer one. The stock's one-month return stands at -17.3%, though it remains up 17.6% over three months. The GekkoIndex reads 66.1, placing SBSW in the Accumulation zone, and the current price is 11.9% below the Gekko Fair Value of $11.51.

No confirmed earnings date is currently on the calendar. Over the last 90 days there has been one open-market insider purchase valued at $448,000. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 2.1% return over 5 years, rising in 3 of those years. Analyst coverage from 3 firms shows 2 buy ratings and 1 hold, with a consensus target of $12.54. The wide gap between price and both fair value and analyst targets is worth noting given the stock's typical 20-day move of 11.4%.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater price vs fair value

$11.51$10.14Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $10.14200-day averageGekko Fair Value $11.51

D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater quick facts

Market cap
$7.18B
P/E ratio
8.5
Forward P/E
2.9
EPS, TTM
$1.21
Revenue, TTM
$164.9B
Profit margin
9.8%
Dividend yield
7.67%
Beta
0.97
Volume
5.94M avg 5.46M
1-year return
−4.9%
Typical daily move
±5.7%
Typical 20-day move
±11.4%
50-day average
$10.86
200-day average
$12.65
Next earnings
—
Shares outstanding
707.6M
52-week range
$7.87$21.29

D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater swing-trade checklist

D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive0 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $10.14 is below the 50-day ($10.86) and 200-day ($12.65) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    66.1, Accumulation

    Reading 66.1 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    11.9% below

    Price is 11.9% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: 1 open-market insider purchase.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskno data

    No data

    No confirmed report date on the calendar.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +2.1% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +2.1% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater stock chart and price history

D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater closed at $10.14 on Sep 28, 2026, −4.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $7.87 to $21.29.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$5$15$20NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep10.14

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−17.3%
3 months
+17.6%
6 months
−12.1%
1 year
−4.9%
The full SBSW chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open SBSW in Gekko

Follow D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater through every session

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About D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater

Sibanye-Stillwater operates as a mining group focused on extracting precious metals, with activity stretching across South Africa, the United States, Zimbabwe, Canada and Argentina. Gold and platinum group metals form the heart of its output, including palladium, platinum and rhodium, while it also captures secondary materials like iridium, ruthenium, nickel, copper and chrome as part of its processing work. Its American footprint centers on the Stillwater and East Boulder mines in Montana, feeding into the Columbus facility, where ore is turned into PGM-rich filter cake and recycled PGM material is also processed.

Within South Africa, the company runs platinum group metal operations at Kroondal, Rustenburg, Marikana and Platinum Mile, drawing gold instead from surface sites at Driefontein, Kloof and Cooke on the Witwatersrand's West Rand, together with the Beatrix mine further south in the Free State. Beyond South Africa, it holds an interest in the Mimosa mine in Zimbabwe, the Marathon project in Ontario, and the Altar and Rio Grande copper-gold ventures in the Argentine Andes. Additional South African assets include tailings retreatment sites and gold projects such as Hoedspruit and Burnstone.

Founded in 2013, Sibanye-Stillwater is headquartered in Weltevreden Park, South Africa, and its stock trades under the ticker SBSW.

Sector
Non-energy minerals
Website
sibanyestillwater.com

D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 66.1, in the Accumulation zone, up 5 points over five sessions.

010066.1Accumulation

Up 5 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying26+10.3%+13.9%+17.9%+29.2%
Accumulation (current zone)200+1.3%+2.6%+3.1%+5.3%
Neutral344+0.9%+1.0%+4.4%+11.5%
Distribution55−2.2%+2.5%+2.7%+18.7%
Selling0Not available

Average SBSW share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the SBSW price, zone by zone.Track SBSW in Gekko

Is D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater trades 11.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $11.51, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$11.51

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

11.9% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open SBSW in Gekko

D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater insider and Congress trading

Insiders filed 1 open-market purchase in D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater worth $448K, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

$448Kin 1 open-market purchase

FiledInsiderTypeSharesValue
Jun 30Charl Keyter
Chief Financial Officer
Purchase200,000$448K

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in SBSW were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for SBSW, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SBSW in Gekko

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Dec 31

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold SBSW.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater earnings: next date and track record

D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.5% on average across the report.

5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.5%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+3.5%Mar ’24−0.2%May ’24+18.3%Sep ’24−4.3%Feb ’25−2.3%Apr ’25−3.7%Aug ’25+5.9%Feb ’26+6.0%Sep ’26

Last earnings call, Sep 1, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Sibanye-Stillwater (SBSW) presented results focused on executing their refreshed strategy announced in January, centered on strengthening business fundamentals through improved operating margins, cost control, production optimization, and portfolio simplification. Management emphasized operational excellence, increased return on capital, and a capital allocation model prioritizing shareholder returns, debt reduction, and business sustainability. The company highlighted existing portfolio assets as growth opportunities without requiring expensive M&A.
Guidance
Management targets improved operating margins through cost and production optimization. Capital allocation priorities include shareholder returns, balance sheet deleveraging, and reinvestment. Growth strategy focuses on value-accretive development of existing portfolio assets with flexibility to act at optimal cycle timing.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Sep 1, 2026$1.34
est $1.26
+6.3%$5.59B
est $5.22B
+7.1%+6.0%
Feb 20, 2026−$0.14
est $0.55
−125.4%$4.67B
est $3.87B
+20.6%+5.9%
Aug 28, 2025$0.43
est $0.13
+230.5%$3.10B
est $3.05B
+1.6%−3.7%
Apr 25, 2025$0.06
est −$0.16
+137.5%——−2.3%
Feb 21, 2025$0.01
est −$0.16
+108.0%$3.18B
est $2.73B
+16.5%−4.3%
Sep 12, 2024$0.01
est −$0.11
+109.1%$2.95B
est $2.54B
+16.3%+18.3%
May 10, 2024−$0.31
est −$0.08
−289.5%$2.85B
est $2.60B
+9.7%−0.2%
Mar 5, 2024−$0.87
est −$0.08
−989.9%$2.90B
est $2.60B
+11.6%+3.5%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater is $12.54, +23.7% from the last close, from 3 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$12.54consensus 12-month target, +23.7% from the last close
Low $12High $16.50
Buy2
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 3 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 28RBC CapitalBuy, maintained$16.50+62.7%
Aug 13CitiBuy, initiated$13.50+33.1%
Jul 14BMO CapitalHold, reiterated$12+18.3%
Jul 14BMO CapitalHold, maintained$12+18.3%
+3.1%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+2.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±5.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater averaged +2.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+16.3%2021+5.2%2022−16.5%2023+22.6%2024−7.2%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.8%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+4.5%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+3.6%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+2.1%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+3.4%4 of 5

For scale, SBSW’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 11.4%.

D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater market cap and key statistics

D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater’s market cap is $7.18B, with a P/E ratio of 8.5 and revenue of $164.9B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$7.18B
P/E ratio
8.5
Forward P/E
2.9
EPS, TTM
$1.21
Gekko Fair Value
$11.51

Trading

Volume
5.94M
Avg volume, 20 days
5.46M
52-week high
$21.29
52-week low
$7.87
Shares outstanding
707.6M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$164.9B
Profit margin
9.8%
Return on equity
34.7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−38.2%

Risk and income

Beta
0.97
Typical daily move
±5.7%
Typical 20-day move
±11.4%
Dividend yield
7.67%

D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater stock news this week

Coverage of D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater this week reads negative: 1 positive, 0 neutral and 2 negative headlines.

News sentiment negative

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Reporting earnings this week

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D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater stock FAQ

What is D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater’s market cap?

D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater’s market cap is $7.18B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $10.14, with 707.6M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 8.5.

What is the D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater is $12.54, +23.7% from the last close. Of the 3 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 2 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $10.14 is 11.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $11.51. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

What is D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater’s 52-week high and low?

D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater’s 52-week high is $21.29 and its 52-week low is $7.87; it closed at $10.14 on Sep 28, 2026, −4.9% over the past year.

Is D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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