Buenaventura Mining (BVN) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$32.05−1.12 (−3.4%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Buenaventura closed at $32.05, down 3.4% on the day, with no company-specific news items reported this week. The stock trades below both its 50-day ($33.40) and 200-day ($33.80) averages, reflecting a broader pullback that has taken it down 11.7% over one month, though it remains up 39.8% over the past year and 12.1% over three months.

The GekkoIndex reading stands at 63.7, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, up 5.3 points over the past five sessions. Gekko Fair Value is set at $35.05, putting the current price 8.6% below that mark. Separately, consensus analyst coverage from two firms shows one buy and one hold, with a consensus target of $37.53, implying 17.1% upside from current levels.

The next earnings report is due 29 October 2026, 30 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior quarter saw an EPS miss ($0.94 versus $0.99 estimate) with a modest 0.2% reaction, and the company has beaten estimates in 6 of the last 8 quarters. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current window. Seasonality data going back 5 years shows the next 20 trading days averaging a 1.5% return, though gains occurred in only 2 of those 5 years, a mixed signal worth noting given the stock's typical 20-day move of 7.6%.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Buenaventura Mining price vs fair value

$35.05$32.05Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $32.05200-day averageGekko Fair Value $35.05

Buenaventura Mining quick facts

Market cap
$8.14B
P/E ratio
7.5
Forward P/E
36.5
EPS, TTM
$4.41
Revenue, TTM
$2.21B
Profit margin
48.2%
Dividend yield
3.42%
Beta
0.45
Volume
1.45M avg 1.16M
1-year return
+39.8%
Typical daily move
±4.6%
Typical 20-day move
±7.6%
50-day average
$33.40
200-day average
$33.80
Next earnings
Oct 29
Shares outstanding
253.7M
52-week range
$21.00$44.67

Buenaventura Mining swing-trade checklist

Buenaventura Mining scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $32.05 is below the 50-day ($33.40) and 200-day ($33.80) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    63.7, Accumulation

    Reading 63.7 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    8.6% below

    Price is 8.6% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 30 days

    Next report Oct 29, 2026, 30 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +1.5% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.5% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Buenaventura Mining stock chart and price history

Buenaventura Mining closed at $32.05 on Sep 28, 2026, +39.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $21.00 to $44.67.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Buenaventura Mining share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$20$30$40NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep32.05

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−11.7%
3 months
+12.1%
6 months
−4.4%
1 year
+39.8%
The full BVN chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open BVN in Gekko

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About Buenaventura Mining

Buenaventura Mining explores, develops, processes, and sells precious and base metals, with gold, silver, lead, zinc, and copper as its main products. It runs a number of mining units across Peru, including Tambomayo, Orcopampa, Uchucchacua, and Julcani, along with the San Gabriel project in the Moquegua region. It is also known for its stakes in other mines such as Colquijirca, La Zanja, Yanacocha, Cerro Verde, El Brocal, Coimolache, Yumpaq, San Gregorio, and Trapiche.

Beyond metal extraction, the company makes manganese sulphate monohydrate and related mineral by-products, and it operates hydroelectric power plants as part of its broader activities.

Buenaventura Mining was established in 1953 and is based in Lima, Peru. Its shares trade under the ticker BVN.

Sector
Non-energy minerals
Website
buenaventura.com

Buenaventura Mining GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Buenaventura Mining’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 63.7, in the Accumulation zone, up 5.3 points over five sessions.

010063.7Accumulation

Up 5.3 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying37−0.3%+0.2%+2.1%+0.1%
Accumulation (current zone)158+1.7%+2.7%+3.4%+7.8%
Neutral372+0.4%+1.1%+2.7%+8.2%
Distribution58+1.2%+2.0%+5.7%+10.7%
Selling0Not available

Average BVN share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the BVN price, zone by zone.Track BVN in Gekko

Is Buenaventura Mining stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Buenaventura Mining trades 8.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $35.05, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Buenaventura Mining shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$35.05

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

8.6% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open BVN in Gekko

Buenaventura Mining insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Buenaventura Mining, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for BVN in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every BVN insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BVN in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in BVN were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for BVN, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BVN in Gekko

Buybacks

Buenaventura Mining has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, year ended Dec 31, 2017
$623K
As a share of market cap
0.01%

From company filings.

Buenaventura Mining earnings: next date and track record

Buenaventura Mining reports on Oct 29, 2026 (30 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.1%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−0.2%Oct ’24−4.9%Feb ’25−1.8%Apr ’25−1.6%Jul ’25+2.3%Oct ’25+9.1%Feb ’26+4.8%Apr ’26+0.2%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Buenaventura reported solid operational and financial performance in Q2 2026 with consolidated gold production up 12% y/y to 30.1 koz, silver up 2% to 3.6 Moz, and copper up 2% to 13.5 kt. Key drivers included the ramp-up and first commercial contribution from San Gabriel, higher production at Yumpak (Jumpak), and stable production at El Brocal. Management highlighted approval to increase Yumpak throughput from 1,000 tpd to 1,200 tpd, expected to deliver roughly a 10% production increase and ~15%-17% op-cost reduction once connected to the national grid. Capital allocation remains focused on productivity-enhancing projects; group CapEx guidance for 2026 is around $500 million (≈$200M spent H1). Management addressed operational issues at San Gabriel (press-filter structural reinforcement, lower than expected recoveries due to preg-robbing organic matter and sulfide-bound gold) and plans incremental CapEx and a flotation circuit (~$15M) and reagent optimization to improve recoveries toward ~80%. Cerro Verde dividends to Buenaventura are expected to total roughly $350M–$380M for the year. Management confirmed unchanged Cerro Verde production guidance (~370–380 kt Cu for 2026) and discussed preparatory CapEx (~$12M) for El Niño risk mitigation.
Guidance
Group 2026 CapEx ~ $500 million (≈$200M spent H1). San Gabriel incremental CapEx remaining ~ $60M for 2026; potential flotation circuit ~ $15M (likely in 2027). Yumpak throughput approved to 1.2k tpd → ~10% production uplift vs original plan; expects 15%-17% operating cost reduction once connected to grid in Q4 2026. Cerro Verde dividends to Buenaventura expected ~$350M–$380M in 2026. Cerro Verde production guidance unchanged at ~370k–380k t Cu for 2026. Additional El Niño preparedness CapEx ~ $12M for 2026.
Risks flagged
Operational: San Gabriel processing challenges (press-filter foundation reinforcement needed; lower-than-expected gold recoveries due to preg-robbing organic matter and some sulfide-hosted gold), potential temporary throughput shortfalls raising cost/ton. Weather: strong El Niño risk—company allocated ~$12M to mitigation (pumping, water treatment, reinforcement of critical structures). Cost: diesel price increases could raise OpEx (~5%-7% impact observed), and worker profit sharing increases costs. Market: metal price volatility can affect Cerro Verde dividends and project economics. Asset disposition: potential sale decision for Julcani introduces uncertainty for future production mix.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 30, 2026$0.94
est $0.99
−5.1%$529.0M
est $610.0M
−13.3%+0.2%
Apr 29, 2026$1.33
est $1.15
+15.3%$622.5M
est $666.0M
−6.5%+4.8%
Feb 26, 2026$1.62
est $0.59
+174.6%$623.4M
est $522.2M
+19.4%+9.1%
Oct 30, 2025$0.66
est $0.40
+65.0%$431.8M
est $451.6M
−4.4%+2.3%
Jul 24, 2025$0.37
est $0.34
+8.8%$373.4M
est $355.6M
+5.0%−1.6%
Apr 30, 2025$0.55
est $0.31
+77.4%$307.7M
est $286.8M
+7.3%−1.8%
Feb 20, 2025$0.13
est $0.25
−48.7%$299.6M
est $296.7M
+1.0%−4.9%
Oct 30, 2024$0.93
est $0.28
+233.1%$331.1M
est $261.5M
+26.6%−0.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Buenaventura Mining stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Buenaventura Mining is $37.53, +17.1% from the last close, from 2 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$37.53consensus 12-month target, +17.1% from the last close
Low $34.50High $40
Buy1
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 2 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Jul 14ScotiabankHold, maintained$40+24.8%
Jul 8Morgan StanleyBuy, maintained$34.50+7.6%
+3.4%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+1.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Buenaventura Mining seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Buenaventura Mining averaged +1.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+23.9%2021+1.3%2022−0.9%2023−5.0%2024−11.6%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.2%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+4.1%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+5.0%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+1.5%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+2.6%3 of 5

For scale, BVN’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.6%.

Buenaventura Mining market cap and key statistics

Buenaventura Mining’s market cap is $8.14B, with a P/E ratio of 7.5 and revenue of $2.21B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$8.14B
P/E ratio
7.5
Forward P/E
36.5
EPS, TTM
$4.41
Gekko Fair Value
$35.05

Trading

Volume
1.45M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.16M
52-week high
$44.67
52-week low
$21.00
Shares outstanding
253.7M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$2.21B
Profit margin
48.2%
Return on equity
27.8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+160.0%

Risk and income

Beta
0.45
Typical daily move
±4.6%
Typical 20-day move
±7.6%
Dividend yield
3.42%

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Buenaventura Mining stock FAQ

What is Buenaventura Mining’s market cap?

Buenaventura Mining’s market cap is $8.14B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $32.05, with 253.7M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 7.5.

What is the Buenaventura Mining stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Buenaventura Mining is $37.53, +17.1% from the last close. Of the 2 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Buenaventura Mining stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Buenaventura Mining is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $32.05 is 8.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $35.05. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Buenaventura Mining report earnings next?

Buenaventura Mining is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026 (30 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.86 per share on revenue of $439.7M. Buenaventura Mining beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.1% on average across the report.

What is Buenaventura Mining’s 52-week high and low?

Buenaventura Mining’s 52-week high is $44.67 and its 52-week low is $21.00; it closed at $32.05 on Sep 28, 2026, +39.8% over the past year.

Is Buenaventura Mining stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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