NASDAQ: RIOT

Riot Platforms (RIOT) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$21.62−1.38 (−6.0%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Riot Platforms draws attention this week through comparisons with peer IREN as both companies pivot from Bitcoin mining toward AI computing infrastructure, with commentary noting Riot's more gradual approach via long-term data center deals. Jones Trading initiated coverage with a Buy rating and a $30.00 price target, citing the company's transition to a digital infrastructure provider focused on AI and high-performance computing. Separate coverage notes Riot is funding new data center projects by spending down its Bitcoin holdings rather than issuing new debt or equity.

The stock closed at $21.62, down 6% on the day, though it remains above both its 50-day average of $21.08 and 200-day average of $19.24, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 58.8, placing it in the Neutral zone. Gekko Fair Value stands at $25.57, putting the current price 15.4% below that level.

Riot's next earnings report is scheduled for 29 October 2026, after the close, 30 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window. In the prior quarter, actual EPS of -0.68 missed the -0.3 estimate, with a -1.4% reaction. Over the last 30 days, 3 unusual options signals have been recorded, alongside call premium of $7,145,666 versus put premium of $5,601,992. Seasonality over 5 years shows the next 20 trading days averaging +9%, positive in 4 of those years. Analyst consensus across 14 firms rates the stock Buy, with a consensus target of $32.40.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Riot Platforms price vs fair value

$25.57$21.62Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $21.62200-day averageGekko Fair Value $25.57

Riot Platforms quick facts

Market cap
$8.18B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
20.9
EPS, TTM
−$3.65
Revenue, TTM
$674.5M
Profit margin
-196.3%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
3.83
Volume
11.89M avg 15.94M
1-year return
+29.2%
Typical daily move
±6.5%
Typical 20-day move
±18.2%
50-day average
$21.08
200-day average
$19.24
Next earnings
Oct 29 after close
Shares outstanding
375.3M
52-week range
$11.50$30.32

Riot Platforms swing-trade checklist

Riot Platforms scores 5 supportive, 1 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

5 supportive1 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $21.62 is above the 50-day ($21.08) and 200-day ($19.24) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    58.8, Neutral

    Reading 58.8 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    15.4% below

    Price is 15.4% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 30 days: 3 unusual options signals.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 30 days

    Next report Oct 29, 2026, 30 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +9.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +9% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Riot Platforms stock chart and price history

Riot Platforms closed at $21.62 on Sep 28, 2026, +29.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $11.50 to $30.32.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Riot Platforms share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$10$15$20$25NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep21.62

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+3.5%
3 months
−22.1%
6 months
+68.9%
1 year
+29.2%
The full RIOT chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open RIOT in Gekko

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About Riot Platforms

Riot Platforms mines Bitcoin at scale, running large mining infrastructure from sites in Rockdale and Navarro counties in Texas along with two locations in Paducah, Kentucky. This mining work forms the core of what the company is recognized for, alongside a separate line of business built around electrical engineering.

The company runs through two segments, Bitcoin Mining and Engineering. The Engineering side builds power distribution equipment and custom electrical systems, and handles the design, manufacturing, and installation of electricity distribution products for a range of customers, including large commercial firms, government bodies, and organizations tied to data centers, power generation, utilities, water systems, industrial operations, and renewable energy.

Riot Platforms was founded in 2000 and is based in Castle Rock, Colorado. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker RIOT.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Technology services
Industry
Information technology services
Website
riotplatforms.com

Riot Platforms GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Riot Platforms’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 58.8, in the Neutral zone, up 10.3 points over five sessions.

010058.8Neutral

Up 10.3 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying22+11.2%+7.8%+19.1%+7.4%
Accumulation244+2.2%+3.3%+5.6%+22.9%
Neutral (current zone)361+0.9%+2.6%+3.6%+3.5%
Distribution41−3.6%−5.8%−2.8%−2.9%
Selling4Too few readings yet

Average RIOT share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the RIOT price, zone by zone.Track RIOT in Gekko

Is Riot Platforms stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Riot Platforms trades 15.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $25.57, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Riot Platforms shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$25.57

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

15.4% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open RIOT in Gekko

Riot Platforms insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Riot Platforms, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for RIOT in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every RIOT insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open RIOT in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in RIOT were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for RIOT, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open RIOT in Gekko

Buybacks

Riot Platforms has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$499K
As a share of market cap
0.01%
Trailing four quarters
$6.22M

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

3signals, 56% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 26, $6.46M in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

3of the funds Gekko tracks hold RIOT.

1added2opened0trimmed0sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Riot Platforms earnings: next date and track record

Riot Platforms reports on Oct 29, 2026, after the close (30 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.

3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±11.8%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−15.0%Oct ’24−10.9%Feb ’25+15.9%May ’25−18.4%Jul ’25−10.8%Oct ’25−6.1%Mar ’26+15.8%Apr ’26−1.4%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 10, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Riot Platforms reported significant data center expansion in Q2 2026, securing a 20-year lease with a leading frontier AI lab for 191 megawatts at Rockdale, generating ~$9.1B in contracted revenue ($16.1B with extensions). Combined with the AMD lease, total contracted data center revenue reached ~$9.8B across 241 megawatts. Riot ended the quarter with $1.2B in liquidity ($666M Bitcoin, $549M cash). Corsicana's 1GW site is under a nonbinding LOI with a single tenant.
Guidance
Riot is targeting delivery of the first 96MW to the frontier AI lab tenant, with AMD's 25MW expansion delivering first phase later in 2026 and full delivery by May 2027. Corsicana's 1GW campus is in advanced commercial discussions under a nonbinding LOI for full-site tenancy.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 10, 2026−$0.68
est −$0.30
−124.2%$174.2M
est $154.3M
+12.9%−1.4%
Apr 30, 2026−$0.35
est −$0.28
−25.0%$167.2M
est $130.5M
+28.1%+15.8%
Mar 2, 2026−$1.88
est −$0.13
−1,382.2%$152.8M
est $159.9M
−4.4%−6.1%
Oct 30, 2025$0.26
est −$0.19
+236.8%$180.2M
est $159.6M
+13.0%−10.8%
Jul 31, 2025$0.57
est $0.06
+850.0%$153.0M
est $168.1M
−9.0%−18.4%
May 1, 2025−$0.90
est −$0.21
−328.6%$161.4M
est $160.7M
+0.4%+15.9%
Feb 24, 2025$0.44
est −$0.08
+650.0%$142.6M
est $139.1M
+2.5%−10.9%
Oct 30, 2024−$0.54
est −$0.16
−237.5%$84.79M
est $128.7M
−34.1%−15.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Riot Platforms stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Riot Platforms is $32.40, +49.9% from the last close, from 14 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$32.40consensus 12-month target, +49.9% from the last close
Low $22High $43
Buy14
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 14 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 28Clear StreetBuy, maintained——
Aug 31BernsteinBuy, maintained$35+61.9%
Aug 18Clear StreetBuy, reiterated$38+75.8%
Aug 17J.P. MorganBuy, reiterated$22+1.8%
Aug 13BernsteinBuy, reiterated$35+61.9%
+3.6%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+9.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±6.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Riot Platforms seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Riot Platforms averaged +9.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+6.9%2021−3.5%2022+2.3%2023+42.3%2024+16.3%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+4.7%5 of 5
Next 10 trading days+1.7%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+7.5%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+9.0%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+17.0%3 of 5

For scale, RIOT’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 18.2%.

Riot Platforms market cap and key statistics

Riot Platforms’s market cap is $8.18B and revenue of $674.5M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$8.18B
Forward P/E
20.9
EPS, TTM
−$3.65
Gekko Fair Value
$25.57

Trading

Volume
11.89M
Avg volume, 20 days
15.94M
52-week high
$30.32
52-week low
$11.50
Shares outstanding
375.3M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$674.5M
Profit margin
-196.3%
Return on equity
-48.2%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+37.3%

Risk and income

Beta
3.83
Typical daily move
±6.5%
Typical 20-day move
±18.2%

Riot Platforms stock news this week

Coverage of Riot Platforms this week reads positive: 3 positive, 1 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Riot Platforms peers

Riot Platforms’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
IBMInternational Business Machines−0.8%Accumulation16.1% below
FTNTFortinet+3.3%Neutral32.5% above
NETCloudflare+4.3%Neutral22.9% above
ACNAccenture+0.6%Neutral9.7% below
WDAYWorkday+2.3%Neutral13.2% above
CRDOCredo Technology−6.5%Neutral19.0% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Riot Platforms stock FAQ

What is Riot Platforms’s market cap?

Riot Platforms’s market cap is $8.18B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $21.62, with 375.3M shares outstanding.

What is the Riot Platforms stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Riot Platforms is $32.40, +49.9% from the last close. Of the 14 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 14 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Riot Platforms stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Riot Platforms is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $21.62 is 15.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $25.57. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Riot Platforms report earnings next?

Riot Platforms is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026, after the market closes (30 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.33 per share on revenue of $159.8M. Riot Platforms beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 11.8% on average across the report.

What is Riot Platforms’s 52-week high and low?

Riot Platforms’s 52-week high is $30.32 and its 52-week low is $11.50; it closed at $21.62 on Sep 28, 2026, +29.2% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $46.28 on Nov 15, 2021.

Is Riot Platforms stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 5 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (trend, fair value, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Riot Platforms?

Gekko flagged 3 unusual options signals in Riot Platforms over the last 30 days, with $7.15M of flagged premium in calls and $5.60M in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 26, 2026 with $6.46M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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