Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for PTRN in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every PTRN insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open PTRN in Gekko
NASDAQ: PTRN
Pattern (PTRN) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$17.34−1.08 (−5.9%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closePattern's week was dominated by the lead-up to its next earnings release, with the company confirming it will report third quarter 2026 financial results after market close on 4 November 2026. Alongside this, a comparison piece contrasted Pattern Group against Dillard's on profitability, dividends, earnings, valuation, risk and analyst recommendations, while a general overview recapped the stock's price and financial performance. No deal, product launch or regulatory news appears in the headlines this week.
Pattern closed at $17.34, down 5.9% on the day, sitting between its 50-day average of $20.05 and 200-day average of $17.22, reflecting a mixed trend. The one-month return stands at -13.5% and the three-month return at -38.2%, though the six-month return is 33.4% and the one-year return 23.7%. The GekkoIndex reads 63, placing Pattern in the Accumulation zone, down 4.7 points over five periods. Gekko Fair Value is set at $23.15, putting the current price 25.1% below that level.
Earnings on 4 November 2026 fall 22 days out, inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window, and the prior report on 6 May 2026 produced a 21% reaction after EPS of $0.16 beat the $0.10 estimate, with an average absolute reaction of 11.7% across recent quarters. Analyst coverage shows 7 buy ratings, 1 hold and 0 sell among 8 firms, with a consensus target of $27.62. One billionaire holder is noted, though no insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in their respective windows.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Pattern price vs fair value
Close $17.34200-day averageGekko Fair Value $23.15
Pattern quick facts
- Market cap
- $2.69B
- P/E ratio
- —
- Forward P/E
- —
- EPS, TTM
- −$1.28
- Revenue, TTM
- $3.01B
- Profit margin
- 0.9%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- —
- Volume
- 1.13M avg 1.76M
- 1-year return
- +23.7%
- Typical daily move
- ±5.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±17.8%
- 50-day average
- $20.05
- 200-day average
- $17.22
- Next earnings
- Nov 4
- Shares outstanding
- 155.7M
Pattern swing-trade checklist
Pattern scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 4 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $17.34 sits between the 50-day ($20.05) and 200-day ($17.22) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
63, Accumulation
Reading 63 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
25.1% below
Price is 25.1% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 23 days
Reports on Nov 4, 2026, 23 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityno data
No data
Not enough years of history for a seasonal read.
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Pattern stock chart and price history
Pattern closed at $17.34 on Oct 12, 2026, +23.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $8.92 to $29.80.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −13.5%
- 3 months
- −38.2%
- 6 months
- +33.4%
- 1 year
- +23.7%
The full PTRN chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open PTRN in Gekko
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About Pattern
Pattern helps consumer brands grow their presence on online marketplaces by blending technology it has built with a team of specialists who manage the details of selling online. Shoppers in the United States and in other countries encounter its reach, and it has become known for actually taking ownership of products rather than just advising brands from the sidelines.
Its approach involves purchasing goods from the brand partners it works with and then handling the process of getting those items in front of buyers. The brands it supports span several areas of consumer life, such as wellness and health, beauty and personal care, household and lifestyle goods, pet supplies, outdoor and sports equipment, and electronics for everyday consumers.
Lehi, Utah is home to Pattern's headquarters, and the business traces its incorporation back to 2018. Before taking on its current identity, the company operated under the name Covalent Group, Inc., switching to Pattern Group Inc. in November 2024. Investors can find its stock on the NASDAQ, trading under the ticker PTRN.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Commercial services
- Industry
- Advertising/Marketing services
- Website
- pattern.com
Pattern GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Pattern’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 63, in the Accumulation zone, down 4.7 points over five sessions.
63Accumulation
Down 4.7 points over five sessions.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 26 | −0.2% | +15.2% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 102 | −0.4% | +0.3% | ||
| Neutral | 98 | +1.2% | +4.9% | ||
| Distribution | 35 | +4.9% | +7.4% | ||
| Selling | 0 | Not available | |||
Average PTRN share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the PTRN price, zone by zone.Track PTRN in Gekko
Is Pattern stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Pattern trades 25.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $23.15, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Pattern shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$23.15
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
25.1% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 22.2% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open PTRN in Gekko
Pattern insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Pattern, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in PTRN were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for PTRN, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open PTRN in Gekko
Buybacks
Pattern has been buying back its own shares.
- Latest authorization
- $100.0M, Mar 5, 2026
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $94K
- As a share of market cap
- 0.00%
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds PTRN.
0added1opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Pattern earnings: next date and track record
Pattern reports on Nov 4, 2026 (23 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 4 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 4, 2026
23 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.15
- Revenue estimate
- $853.7M
3 of 4reports beat the EPS estimate
±11.7%average move across the report
2 of 3reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, May 6, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Pattern (PTRN) reported Q1 2026 revenue of $774M, up 43% YoY, with adjusted EBITDA of $54M, up 59% YoY. Net Revenue Retention hit a record 127% vs 115% last year. International revenue grew 101% YoY, non-Amazon revenue surged 119% YoY across TikTok Shop, Walmart, and Coupang, and other monetization strategies grew 173% YoY. Named TikTok Shop strategic partner of the year with 100+ brands launched on the platform.
- Guidance
- Management expects continued improvement in international efficiency and profitability as scale increases. Social commerce and AI-driven discovery are identified as key growth drivers, with triple-digit social commerce growth continuing into Q1 2026.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2026 | $0.16 est $0.10 | $773.7M est $716.7M | +21.0% |
| Mar 5, 2026 | $0.23 est $0.12 | $723.1M est $691.5M | −5.9% |
| Nov 5, 2025 | −$1.95 est −$1.69 | $639.7M est $691.6M | +8.2% |
| Sep 3, 2025 | $0.21 est $0.00 | — | — |
| Jun 30, 2025 | $0.13 | $598.2M | — |
| Mar 31, 2025 | $0.13 | $540.4M | — |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Pattern stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Pattern is $27.62, +59.3% from the last close, from 8 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$27.62consensus 12-month target, +59.3% from the last close
Now $17.34Avg $27.62
Low $26High $30
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 8 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7 | Goldman Sachs | $27 | +55.7% |
| Sep 10 | Evercore ISI | — | — |
| Aug 6 | Needham | $29 | +67.2% |
| Aug 6 | Robert W. Baird | $26 | +49.9% |
| Aug 6 | Goldman Sachs | $31 | +78.8% |
+0.3%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
±5.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Pattern market cap and key statistics
Pattern’s market cap is $2.69B and revenue of $3.01B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $2.69B
- EPS, TTM
- −$1.28
- Gekko Fair Value
- $23.15
Trading
- Volume
- 1.13M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 1.76M
- 52-week high
- $29.80
- 52-week low
- $8.92
- Shares outstanding
- 155.7M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $3.01B
- Profit margin
- 0.9%
- Return on equity
- 4.9%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −16.7%
Risk and income
- Typical daily move
- ±5.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±17.8%
Pattern stock news this week
3 headlines about Pattern from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.
- Pattern Group Inc. (PTRN) Stock Price, News, Quote & HistoryYahoo! Finance Canada, Oct 8
- Pattern to Report Third Quarter 2026 Financial ResultsBusiness Wire, Oct 7
- Contrasting Pattern Group (NASDAQ:PTRN) and Dillard’s (NYSE:DDS)Defense World, Oct 7
Pattern peers
Pattern’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| OMCOmnicom | Neutral | 27.3% below |
| DJTTrump Media & Technology | Buying | 11.6% below |
| SBETSharplink | Accumulation | 24.9% below |
| CCOClear Channel Outdoor | Neutral | 32.9% below |
| QNSTQuinStreet | Accumulation | 22.5% below |
| BOCBoston Omaha | Accumulation | 7.7% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Pattern stock FAQ
What is Pattern’s market cap?
Pattern’s market cap is $2.69B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $17.34, with 155.7M shares outstanding.
What is the Pattern stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Pattern is $27.62, +59.3% from the last close. Of the 8 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 7 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Pattern stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Pattern is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $17.34 is 25.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $23.15. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Pattern report earnings next?
Pattern is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026 (23 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.15 per share on revenue of $853.7M. Pattern beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 4 reports, moving 11.7% on average across the report.
What is Pattern’s 52-week high and low?
Pattern’s 52-week high is $29.80 and its 52-week low is $8.92; it closed at $17.34 on Oct 12, 2026, +23.7% over the past year.
Is Pattern stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 4 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and fair value), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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