NASDAQ: LILA

Liberty Latin America (LILA) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$8.25+0.15 (+1.9%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Liberty Latin America (LILA) closes at $8.25, up 1.9%, sitting between its 50-day average of $8.57 and 200-day average of $6.33. The stock is down 6.4% over the past month but up 14% over three months, 48.6% over six months and 69.8% over the past year, with a 52-week range of $4.16 to $9.03. The GekkoIndex reads 63.2, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, and the gap to Gekko Fair Value of $14 stands at 41.1% below that mark.

Earnings are due 4 November 2026 after close, 22 days out, following a 5 August report where EPS came in at -0.13 against an estimate of -0.09 and the stock reacted by 3.8%. Over the last 90 days, 18 open-market insider purchases totaling $17.1 million have been recorded, with no billionaire holders noted. Seasonality over the past 5 years shows the next 20 trading days averaging a 2.9% gain, with gains in 4 of those years. Analyst coverage includes one buy and one sell rating, with a consensus target of $10.55 implying 27.9% upside from current levels.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Liberty Latin America price vs fair value

▲$14.00$8.25Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $8.25200-day averageGekko Fair Value $14.00

Liberty Latin America quick facts

Market cap
$2.43B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
15.9
EPS, TTM
−$0.49
Revenue, TTM
$4.46B
Profit margin
-2.2%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
0.73
Volume
495,242 avg 367,249
1-year return
+69.8%
Typical daily move
±3.4%
Typical 20-day move
±7.4%
50-day average
$8.57
200-day average
$6.33
Next earnings
Nov 4 after close
Shares outstanding
36.90M
52-week range
$4.16$9.03

Liberty Latin America swing-trade checklist

Liberty Latin America scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $8.25 sits between the 50-day ($8.57) and 200-day ($6.33) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    63.2, Accumulation

    Reading 63.2 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    41.1% below

    Price is 41.1% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: 18 open-market insider purchases.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 23 days

    Reports on Nov 4, 2026, 23 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +2.9% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +2.9% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Liberty Latin America stock chart and price history

Liberty Latin America closed at $8.25 on Oct 12, 2026, +69.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $4.16 to $9.03.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Liberty Latin America share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$4$5$6$7$9NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct8.25

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−6.4%
3 months
+14.0%
6 months
+48.6%
1 year
+69.8%
The full LILA chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open LILA in Gekko

Follow Liberty Latin America through every session

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About Liberty Latin America

Liberty Latin America provides telecommunications and entertainment services across Puerto Rico, Panama, Costa Rica, Jamaica, the Bahamas, Trinidad and Tobago, Barbados, Curacao, Chile, and other parts of Latin America and the Caribbean. Its offerings span video, broadband internet, fixed-line telephony, and mobile services for households and businesses, along with a subsea and terrestrial fiber network linking roughly 30 markets in the region.

The company runs through several segments, including C&W Caribbean, C&W Panama, Liberty Networks, Liberty Puerto Rico, and Liberty Costa Rica. Beyond residential communications, it serves business and institutional clients with enterprise connectivity, data center and hosting services, managed IT solutions, and voice and data offerings such as value-added and fixed-mobile converged services. Its brands include C&W Business, LIBERTY NETWORKS, Liberty, BTC, Flow, and +movil, reaching enterprises, small and medium businesses, international firms, and government agencies.

Liberty Latin America was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker LILA.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Communications
Industry
Major telecommunications
Website
lla.com

Liberty Latin America GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Liberty Latin America’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 63.2, in the Accumulation zone, up 7.3 points over five sessions.

010063.2Accumulation

Up 7.3 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying66+0.6%+1.0%−0.3%+7.7%
Accumulation (current zone)119+0.8%+0.9%+3.7%+12.4%
Neutral320+0.5%+1.1%+1.7%+3.1%
Distribution47+0.1%+0.7%+5.1%+9.5%
Selling2Too few readings yet

Average LILA share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the LILA price, zone by zone.Track LILA in Gekko

Is Liberty Latin America stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Liberty Latin America trades 41.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $14.00, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Liberty Latin America shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$14.00

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

41.1% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 46.5% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$14$8Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open LILA in Gekko

Liberty Latin America insider and Congress trading

Insiders filed 18 open-market purchases in Liberty Latin America worth $17.13M, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

$17.13Min 18 open-market purchases

FiledInsiderTypeSharesValue
Oct 1MALONE JOHN C
10 percent owner, other: Director Emeritus
Purchase20,000$168K
Sep 28MALONE JOHN C
10 percent owner, other: Director Emeritus
Purchase13,362$273K
Sep 28MALONE JOHN C
10 percent owner, other: Director Emeritus
Purchase7,945$162K
Sep 18MALONE JOHN C
10 percent owner, other: Director Emeritus
Purchase36,914$754K
Sep 4DE ANGOITIA ALFONSO
director
Purchase313,104$6.56M

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in LILA were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for LILA, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open LILA in Gekko

Buybacks

Liberty Latin America has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$26.40M
As a share of market cap
1.09%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold LILA.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Liberty Latin America earnings: next date and track record

Liberty Latin America reports on Nov 4, 2026, after the close (23 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 1 of its last 8 reports.

1 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±8.3%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−17.6%Nov ’24−3.7%Feb ’25−14.0%May ’25+8.6%Aug ’25+9.6%Nov ’25+2.3%Feb ’26−6.5%May ’26+3.8%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Liberty Latin America reported a solid Q2 2026 with modest top-line growth and improving profitability and cash generation. Highlights included 45k mobile postpaid and broadband net adds, 3% rebased adjusted OIBDA growth, sequential revenue and OIBDA improvement, and a continued focus on cost and efficiency initiatives. Management announced an AI-driven IT transformation and outsourcing deal with Amdocs with an estimated NPV north of $250 million, which is expected to drive OpEx and CapEx reductions and margin expansion. Liberty Networks delivered double-digit rebased revenue growth and is positioned for continued expansion via organic builds and opportunistic inorganic activity. Management emphasized opportunistic buybacks, a disciplined capital allocation approach (buybacks, deleveraging, accretive M&A), and ongoing work on Puerto Rico’s debt situation with a possible spin as one option. Weather (Hurricane Melissa) had a modest impact (~$6 million) in the quarter; management confirmed parametric insurance coverage for the upcoming season. CFO commentary noted very strong H1 free cash flow but cautioned H2 free cash flow is likely to be less robust than last year’s second half due to last year’s $81 million weather derivative receipt and expected vendor financing amortization.
Guidance
- Management expects a stronger second half and highlighted Q4 as seasonally strong but cautioned H2 free cash flow is likely to be less robust than last year’s H2 due to an $81M weather derivative receipt in last year’s Q4 and anticipated vendor financing paydowns. - Amdocs deal expected to produce NPV "north of $250M" and drive future OpEx/CapEx savings and margin expansion. - Capital allocation: opportunistic buybacks (management considers the stock undervalued), deleveraging, and selectively pursuing accretive M&A. - No explicit numerical revenue/earnings guidance provided.
Risks flagged
- Weather/hurricane risk (Hurricane Melissa impacted results by ~$6M in Q2) and reliance on parametric insurance (though management has secured coverage for the upcoming season). - Puerto Rico debt situation is a drag on common equity and remains a work in progress; potential strategic outcomes (spin or other restructuring) introduce uncertainty. - Execution risk for large transformation (Amdocs deal) and integration of network builds and potential acquisitions. - Macroeconomic and competitive pressures in some markets (e.g., B2B softness in Panama) and regulatory/sovereign considerations in regional markets.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 5, 2026−$0.13
est −$0.09
−44.4%—
est $1.10B
—+3.8%
May 7, 2026−$0.11
est −$0.07
−65.9%$1.08B
est $1.09B
−0.8%−6.5%
Feb 18, 2026−$0.27
est −$0.04
−669.2%$1.16B
est $1.13B
+2.3%+2.3%
Nov 5, 2025$0.02
est −$0.06
+133.3%$1.11B
est $1.14B
−2.8%+9.6%
Aug 7, 2025−$2.12
est $0.01
−17,335.8%$1.09B
est $1.10B
−1.4%+8.6%
May 7, 2025−$0.69
est −$0.07
−885.7%$1.08B
est $1.10B
−1.7%−14.0%
Feb 19, 2025−$0.90
est $0.48
−286.7%$1.15B
est $1.14B
+0.9%−3.7%
Nov 6, 2024−$2.22
est $0.02
−11,200.0%$1.09B
est $1.15B
−5.5%−17.6%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Liberty Latin America stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Liberty Latin America is $10.55, +27.9% from the last close, from 2 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$10.55consensus 12-month target, +27.9% from the last close
Low $7High $14
Buy1
Hold0
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 2 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 19Morgan StanleySell, downgraded$7−15.2%
Aug 6Benchmark Co.Buy, maintained$14+69.7%
+3.7%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+2.9%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Liberty Latin America seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Liberty Latin America averaged +2.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+6.1%2021+8.8%2022−14.2%2023−13.4%2024+3.6%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.2%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+1.4%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+0.4%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+2.9%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days−5.4%2 of 5

For scale, LILA’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.4%.

Liberty Latin America market cap and key statistics

Liberty Latin America’s market cap is $2.43B and revenue of $4.46B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$2.43B
Forward P/E
15.9
EPS, TTM
−$0.49
Gekko Fair Value
$14.00

Trading

Volume
495,242
Avg volume, 20 days
367,249
52-week high
$9.03
52-week low
$4.16
Shares outstanding
36.90M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$4.46B
Profit margin
-2.2%
Return on equity
-3.7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−15.5%

Risk and income

Beta
0.73
Typical daily move
±3.4%
Typical 20-day move
±7.4%

Liberty Latin America peers

Liberty Latin America’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
BCEBCE+0.2%Buying43.0% below
LUMNLumen Technologies−3.8%Buying25.6% below
LBTYKLiberty Global−1.9%Buying44.1% below
LBTYALiberty Global−1.4%Buying27.9% below
LILAKLiberty Latin America+0.5%Accumulation35.5% below
IDTIDT+0.6%Distribution11.3% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Liberty Latin America stock FAQ

What is Liberty Latin America’s market cap?

Liberty Latin America’s market cap is $2.43B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $8.25, with 36.90M shares outstanding.

What is the Liberty Latin America stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Liberty Latin America is $10.55, +27.9% from the last close. Of the 2 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Liberty Latin America stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Liberty Latin America is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $8.25 is 41.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $14.00. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Liberty Latin America report earnings next?

Liberty Latin America is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026, after the market closes (23 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.09 per share on revenue of $1.14B. Liberty Latin America beat the earnings estimate in 1 of its last 8 reports, moving 8.3% on average across the report.

What is Liberty Latin America’s 52-week high and low?

Liberty Latin America’s 52-week high is $9.03 and its 52-week low is $4.16; it closed at $8.25 on Oct 12, 2026, +69.8% over the past year.

Is Liberty Latin America stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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