Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for HODL in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every HODL insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open HODL in Gekko
CBOE: HODL
VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$23.39+0.13 (+0.6%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closeHODL trades at $23.39, up 0.6% on the day and sitting above both its 50-day average of $21.61 and its 200-day average of $20.89, with the 50-day above the 200-day. Over the past month the trust has gained 7%, and it is up 28.1% over three months and 12.7% over six months, though it remains down 31.7% over the past year. It sits well off its 52-week high of $34.68 and above its 52-week low of $16.40. The GekkoIndex reads 56.5, placing HODL in the Neutral zone, up from a reading five points lower over the past five sessions. No Gekko Fair Value estimate is available for comparison against the current price.
There is no confirmed earnings date on the calendar for this trust, and no insider, Congress, or unusual options activity has been recorded in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Typical daily movement runs around 2.4%, with a typical 20-day swing near 8.1%, figures worth keeping in mind given the trust's recent volatility. Historically, a Neutral GekkoIndex reading has been followed by an average 20-day return of -0.4%, a figure worth noting alongside the current trend above both moving averages.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
VanEck Bitcoin Trust price vs fair value
Close $23.39200-day average
VanEck Bitcoin Trust quick facts
- Market cap
- $1.64B
- P/E ratio
- —
- Volume
- 319,873 avg 580,583
- 1-year return
- −31.7%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.4%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±8.1%
- 50-day average
- $21.61
- 200-day average
- $20.89
- Next earnings
- —
- Shares outstanding
- —
VanEck Bitcoin Trust swing-trade checklist
VanEck Bitcoin Trust scores 1 supportive, 1 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 2 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
1 supportive1 mixed0 headwinds
- Trendsupportive
Above 50 and 200-day
Close $23.39 is above the 50-day ($21.61) and 200-day ($20.89) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
56.5, Neutral
Reading 56.5 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valueno data
No data
No Gekko Fair Value estimate for this stock.
- Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskno data
No data
No confirmed report date on the calendar.
- Seasonalityno data
No data
Not enough years of history for a seasonal read.
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
VanEck Bitcoin Trust stock chart and price history
VanEck Bitcoin Trust closed at $23.39 on Oct 12, 2026, −31.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $16.40 to $34.68.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +7.0%
- 3 months
- +28.1%
- 6 months
- +12.7%
- 1 year
- −31.7%
The full HODL chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open HODL in Gekko
Follow VanEck Bitcoin Trust through every session
Put HODL on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.
Track HODL in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.
About VanEck Bitcoin Trust
VanEck Bitcoin Trust is built to track the price of Bitcoin, after accounting for the costs of running the fund. It does not try to beat Bitcoin's performance or generate returns above and beyond what the underlying asset delivers on its own. In that sense, it offers a way to follow Bitcoin's value without the Trust itself taking an active role in trying to outperform it.
The Trust operates as a passively managed vehicle, meaning its managers do not make discretionary bets or adjust holdings in an attempt to add extra return. Instead, the structure is designed simply to mirror Bitcoin's market movements net of expenses, leaving the Trust's performance closely tied to that of Bitcoin itself.
Shares of VanEck Bitcoin Trust are listed on the CBOE under the ticker HODL.
- Listed
- CBOE
- Sector
- Currency
VanEck Bitcoin Trust GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
VanEck Bitcoin Trust’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 56.5, in the Neutral zone, up 5.9 points over five sessions.
56.5Neutral
Up 5.9 points over five sessions.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 38 | +9.0% | +12.5% | ||
| Accumulation | 241 | +5.7% | +1.5% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 364 | +0.9% | −0.4% | ||
| Distribution | 38 | −8.3% | −3.0% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average HODL share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the HODL price, zone by zone.Track HODL in Gekko
VanEck Bitcoin Trust insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for VanEck Bitcoin Trust, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in HODL were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for HODL, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open HODL in Gekko
VanEck Bitcoin Trust market cap and key statistics
VanEck Bitcoin Trust’s market cap is $1.64B.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $1.64B
Trading
- Volume
- 319,873
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 580,583
- 52-week high
- $34.68
- 52-week low
- $16.40
Risk and income
- Typical daily move
- ±2.4%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±8.1%
VanEck Bitcoin Trust stock FAQ
What is VanEck Bitcoin Trust’s market cap?
VanEck Bitcoin Trust’s market cap is $1.64B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $23.39.
What is VanEck Bitcoin Trust’s 52-week high and low?
VanEck Bitcoin Trust’s 52-week high is $34.68 and its 52-week low is $16.40; it closed at $23.39 on Oct 12, 2026, −31.7% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $107.32 on Nov 26, 2024.
Is VanEck Bitcoin Trust stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 1 of the 2 items with data read as supportive (trend), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
See VanEck Bitcoin Trust the way Gekko members do
Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.
Join 1,408 other traders using Gekko
Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.