Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) (ERIC) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$11.06+0.17 (+1.6%)

Gekko Brief

Nov 4 close

Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) closed at $11.06 on 4 November 2026, +1.6% on the day. The price sits between the 50-day ($10.09) and 200-day ($10.99) moving averages, inside a 52-week range of $9.04 to $13.77. The GekkoIndex reads 50.2, in the Neutral zone, up 2.4 points over five sessions. Gekko Fair Value is $9.36, so the price is 18.2% above it.

The next earnings report is due on 22 January 2027, 78 days away (before open). Over the last 8 reports the company beat the earnings estimate 5 times, with an average move of 8.9% across the report. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point averaged +3.8% over the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

3 firms rate the stock: 0 buy, 1 hold and 2 sell, with a consensus target of $9.52. A typical daily move is about 2%, and a typical 20-day move about 5.8%. On the swing-trade checklist, 1 item reads supportive and 1 reads as a headwind (fair value).

A plain summary of the figures as of the Nov 4, 2026 close.

Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) price vs fair value

$11.06$9.36Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $11.06200-day averageGekko Fair Value $9.36

Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) quick facts

Market cap
$36.90B
P/E ratio
17.9
Forward P/E
17
EPS, TTM
$0.62
Revenue, TTM
$240.3B
Profit margin
8.4%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
0.50
Volume
8.33M avg 13.08M
1-year return
+7.7%
Typical daily move
±2%
Typical 20-day move
±5.8%
50-day average
$10.09
200-day average
$10.99
Next earnings
Jan 22 before open
Shares outstanding
2.98B
52-week range
$9.04$13.77

Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) swing-trade checklist

Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) scores 1 supportive, 3 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

1 supportive3 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $11.06 sits between the 50-day ($10.09) and 200-day ($10.99) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    50.2, Neutral

    Reading 50.2 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    18.2% above

    Price is 18.2% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 78 days

    Next report Jan 22, 2027, 78 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +3.8% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.8% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) stock chart and price history

Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) closed at $11.06 on Nov 4, 2026, +7.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $9.04 to $13.77.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$8$10$12$14DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct11.06

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+17.3%
3 months
+8.9%
6 months
−8.0%
1 year
+7.7%
The full ERIC chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ERIC in Gekko

Follow Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) through every session

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About Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ)

Ericsson builds the infrastructure, software and services that carry telecommunications networks, working mainly with operators in that field while also touching a range of other industries. It is widely associated with radio access network equipment and the hardware, antennas and transport systems that let mobile networks run and expand.

The company's work is split into four areas. One builds the radio network gear itself. Another supplies the software behind billing, network operations, communication platforms, core networks and cloud systems. A third runs and optimizes networks and IT systems on behalf of telecom operators, including application development and upkeep. The last group holds newer ventures such as IoT tools, iconectiv, Cradlepoint's wireless WAN products, Red Bee Media, MediaKind and other emerging activities.

Founded in 1876 and headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden, Ericsson operates across North America, Europe, Latin America, the Middle East, Africa, Southeast Asia, Oceania, India and Northeast Asia. Its shares trade under the ticker ERIC.

Sector
Technology
Industry
Communication Equipment
Website
ericsson.com

Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ)’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 50.2, in the Neutral zone, up 2.4 points over five sessions.

010050.2Neutral

Up 2.4 points over five sessions.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying27+2.9%+5.6%+9.8%+8.3%
Accumulation146+0.7%+2.3%+2.6%+5.4%
Neutral (current zone)425+0.5%+0.7%+2.4%+6.5%
Distribution52+0.4%+0.9%−0.7%+3.2%
Selling0Not available

Average ERIC share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ERIC price, zone by zone.Track ERIC in Gekko

Is Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) trades 18.2% above Gekko Fair Value of $9.36, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$9.36

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

18.2% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 4.1% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$9$11Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ERIC in Gekko

Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ), and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for ERIC in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every ERIC insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ERIC in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in ERIC were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for ERIC, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ERIC in Gekko

Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) earnings: next date and track record

Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) reports on Jan 22, 2027, before the open (78 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.

5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±8.9%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−1.8%Jan ’25+6.6%Apr ’25−6.0%Jul ’25+18.1%Oct ’25+11.5%Jan ’26−3.2%Apr ’26−14.1%Jul ’26+10.1%Oct ’26

Last earnings call, Oct 15, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Ericsson Q3 2026 reported net sales of SEK 59.5 billion with 7% organic growth across all segments. Gross margin reached 47.7% and EBITA margin hit 17%, generating SEK 10.1 billion adjusted EBITA. Networks segment grew 9% YoY to SEK 38.7 billion. IPR revenues increased to SEK 3.9 billion (SEK 13.5 billion run rate). Company faces rising component costs from AI boom but is implementing price increases and portfolio optimization.
Guidance
Management acknowledges RAN market remains broadly flat with component cost pressures expected to persist long-term. Structural mitigations including price increases and supply chain measures will take time to flow through multiyear contracts. No specific revenue targets provided.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Oct 15, 2026$0.18
est $0.14
+28.6%$5.91B
est $5.59B
+5.7%+10.1%
Jul 14, 2026$0.13
est $0.13
0.0%$5.47B
est $5.66B
−3.2%−14.1%
Apr 17, 2026$0.03
est $0.11
−73.1%$5.41B
est $5.48B
−1.3%−3.2%
Jan 23, 2026$0.27
est $0.23
+17.4%$7.69B
est $7.19B
+7.1%+11.5%
Oct 14, 2025$0.35
est $0.13
+168.2%$5.89B
est $5.93B
−0.8%+18.1%
Jul 15, 2025$0.14
est $0.12
+16.7%$5.79B
est $6.15B
−5.9%−6.0%
Apr 15, 2025$0.12
est $0.09
+33.3%$5.61B
est $5.35B
+4.7%+6.6%
Jan 28, 2025$0.17
est $0.21
−19.0%$6.69B
est $6.52B
+2.5%−1.8%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) is $9.52, −13.9% from the last close, from 3 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$9.52consensus 12-month target, −13.9% from the last close
Low $8.70High $10.20
Buy0
Hold1
Sell2

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 3 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 27Bank of America SecuritiesSell, maintained$8.70−21.3%
Oct 8J.P. MorganHold, maintained$10.20−7.8%
Sep 22Morgan StanleySell, downgraded$9−18.6%
+2.4%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+3.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) averaged +3.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−7.8%2021+17.2%2022+17.7%2023−1.3%2024−1.3%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.2%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+2.1%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+1.3%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+3.8%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+5.3%2 of 5

For scale, ERIC’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.8%.

Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) market cap and key statistics

Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ)’s market cap is $36.90B, with a P/E ratio of 17.9 and revenue of $240.3B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$36.90B
P/E ratio
17.9
Forward P/E
17
EPS, TTM
$0.62
Gekko Fair Value
$9.36

Trading

Volume
8.33M
Avg volume, 20 days
13.08M
52-week high
$13.77
52-week low
$9.04
Shares outstanding
2.98B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$240.3B
Profit margin
8.4%
Return on equity
18.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−46.8%

Risk and income

Beta
0.50
Typical daily move
±2%
Typical 20-day move
±5.8%

Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) stock news this week

Coverage of Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) this week reads positive: 2 positive, 1 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

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Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) stock FAQ

What is Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ)’s market cap?

Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ)’s market cap is $36.90B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $11.06, with 2.98B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 17.9.

What is the Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) is $9.52, −13.9% from the last close. Of the 3 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 0 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 2 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $11.06 is 18.2% above Gekko Fair Value of $9.36. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) report earnings next?

Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) is expected to report on Jan 22, 2027, before the market opens (78 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.23 per share on revenue of $7.07B. Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 8.9% on average across the report.

What is Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ)’s 52-week high and low?

Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ)’s 52-week high is $13.77 and its 52-week low is $9.04; it closed at $11.06 on Nov 4, 2026, +7.7% over the past year.

Is Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 1 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (earnings risk), 3 as mixed (trend, gekkoindex and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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