Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for CHEF in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every CHEF insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CHEF in Gekko
NASDAQ: CHEF
Chefs' Warehouse (CHEF) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$111.76+1.49 (+1.4%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryChefs' Warehouse continues to draw attention for its distribution scale and specialty gourmet catalog, with commentary this week framing 2026 growth around expanding market share through debt-funded acquisitions and the balance sheet risk that entails. Separate coverage highlights that the stock has gained 77.1% year to date, well ahead of the consumer staples sector's 6.5% average, while another piece compares CHEF against peer Jeronimo Martins on analyst recommendations, earnings and valuation. No regulatory or deal-specific news accompanies these items.
CHEF closed at $111.76, up 1.4%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $108.61 and its 200-day average of $81.25, with the shorter average above the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 55.5, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, little changed over five sessions. Price stands 18.4% above the Gekko Fair Value of $94.4, a gap that bears watching.
The next earnings date falls on 4 November, 36 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the last report on 29 July showed EPS of $0.78 against a $0.64 estimate, with a 12% reaction. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 0.9% gain over five years, rising in 2 of them. Analyst coverage from 8 firms shows 7 buy ratings and a consensus target of $120.33, implying 7.7% upside.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
Chefs' Warehouse price vs fair value
Close $111.76200-day averageGekko Fair Value $94.40
Chefs' Warehouse quick facts
- Market cap
- $4.56B
- P/E ratio
- 51.8
- Forward P/E
- 25.6
- EPS, TTM
- $2.13
- Revenue, TTM
- $4.39B
- Profit margin
- 2.1%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 1.38
- Volume
- 446,234 avg 664,014
- 1-year return
- +87.4%
- Typical daily move
- ±3.4%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±8.1%
- 50-day average
- $108.61
- 200-day average
- $81.25
- Next earnings
- Nov 4 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 40.80M
Chefs' Warehouse swing-trade checklist
Chefs' Warehouse scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind
- Trendsupportive
Above 50 and 200-day
Close $111.76 is above the 50-day ($108.61) and 200-day ($81.25) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
55.5, Neutral
Reading 55.5 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valueheadwind
18.4% above
Price is 18.4% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 36 days
Next report Nov 4, 2026, 36 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitymixed
+0.9% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +0.9% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Chefs' Warehouse stock chart and price history
Chefs' Warehouse closed at $111.76 on Sep 28, 2026, +87.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $53.20 to $117.65.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +0.4%
- 3 months
- +17.3%
- 6 months
- +87.8%
- 1 year
- +87.4%
The full CHEF chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open CHEF in Gekko
Follow Chefs' Warehouse through every session
Put CHEF on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.
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Chefs' Warehouse GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Chefs' Warehouse’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 55.5, in the Neutral zone, down 0.3 points over five sessions.
55.5Neutral
Down 0.3 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 7 | Too few readings yet | |||
| Accumulation | 136 | +1.6% | +7.7% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 431 | +1.0% | +3.0% | ||
| Distribution | 88 | +0.2% | +4.0% | ||
| Selling | 10 | +3.2% | +12.9% | ||
Average CHEF share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the CHEF price, zone by zone.Track CHEF in Gekko
Is Chefs' Warehouse stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Chefs' Warehouse trades 18.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $94.40, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Chefs' Warehouse shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$94.40
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026
18.4% Overvalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open CHEF in Gekko
Chefs' Warehouse insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Chefs' Warehouse, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in CHEF were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for CHEF, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CHEF in Gekko
Buybacks
Chefs' Warehouse has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 26, 2026
- $52K
- As a share of market cap
- 0.00%
- Trailing four quarters
- $15.06M
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Dec 31
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold CHEF.
0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Chefs' Warehouse earnings: next date and track record
Chefs' Warehouse reports on Nov 4, 2026, before the open (36 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 4, 2026
Expected before the open, 36 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.61
- Revenue estimate
- $1.12B
8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±9.7%average move across the report
7 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Chefs' Warehouse Q2 2026 net sales grew 12.9% to $1.169 billion, with organic sales up 12.2%. Specialty organic sales rose 10%, driven by unique placement growth of 7.2% and specialty case volume up 6%. Gross profit margins expanded ~49 basis points overall. Unique customers grew 3.6% (4.9% excluding Middle East conflict impact). Center-of-plate pounds increased 8.8% year-over-year.
- Guidance
- Management raised full-year 2026 financial guidance and extended five-year targets from 2028 to 2030. Double-digit top-line growth expected to start Q3 2026. Middle East operations running at approximately 94% of prior year during May-June.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | $0.78 est $0.64 | $1.17B est $1.12B | +12.0% |
| Apr 29, 2026 | $0.40 est $0.25 | $1.06B est $1.01B | +20.8% |
| Feb 11, 2026 | $0.68 est $0.62 | $1.14B est $1.10B | +3.7% |
| Oct 29, 2025 | $0.50 est $0.43 | $1.02B est $1.10B | +2.3% |
| Jul 30, 2025 | $0.52 est $0.45 | $1.03B est $986.7M | +11.4% |
| Apr 30, 2025 | $0.25 est $0.21 | $950.7M est $1.01B | +8.2% |
| Feb 12, 2025 | $0.55 est $0.51 | $1.03B est $1.00B | +16.0% |
| Oct 30, 2024 | $0.36 est $0.34 | $931.5M est $1.00B | −3.2% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Chefs' Warehouse stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Chefs' Warehouse is $120.33, +7.7% from the last close, from 8 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$120.33consensus 12-month target, +7.7% from the last close
Now $111.76Avg $120.33
Low $93High $131
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 8 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16 | StoneX | $125 | +11.8% |
| Sep 11 | TD Cowen | $131 | +17.2% |
| Jul 30 | UBS | $125 | +11.8% |
| Jul 30 | Benchmark Co. | $125 | +11.8% |
| Jul 30 | BMO Capital | $125 | +11.8% |
+3.0%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+0.9%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Chefs' Warehouse seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Chefs' Warehouse averaged +0.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −2.6% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −1.3% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −0.3% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +0.9% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +12.1% | 5 of 5 |
For scale, CHEF’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8.1%.
Chefs' Warehouse market cap and key statistics
Chefs' Warehouse’s market cap is $4.56B, with a P/E ratio of 51.8 and revenue of $4.39B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $4.56B
- P/E ratio
- 51.8
- Forward P/E
- 25.6
- EPS, TTM
- $2.13
- Gekko Fair Value
- $94.40
Trading
- Volume
- 446,234
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 664,014
- 52-week high
- $117.65
- 52-week low
- $53.20
- Shares outstanding
- 40.80M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $4.39B
- Profit margin
- 2.1%
- Return on equity
- 15.2%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +55.5%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.38
- Typical daily move
- ±3.4%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±8.1%
Chefs' Warehouse stock news this week
3 headlines about Chefs' Warehouse from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.
- Chefs' Warehouse's 2026 Outlook: Scaling Distribution Network to Capture Market ShareThe Motley Fool, Sep 28
- Has The Chef's Warehouse (CHEF) Outpaced Other Consumer Staples Stocks This Year?Yahoo! Finance Canada, Sep 25
- Contrasting Jeronimo Martins SGPS (OTCMKTS:JRONY) & Chefs’ Warehouse (NASDAQ:CHEF)Defense World, Sep 21
Chefs' Warehouse peers
Chefs' Warehouse’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| SYYSysco | Accumulation | 4.7% below |
| USFDUS Foods | Accumulation | 15.3% below |
| UNFIUnited Natural Foods | Neutral | 11.6% above |
| DOLEDole | Accumulation | 46.2% below |
| DNUTKrispy Kreme | Buying | 19.3% below |
| AGCCAgencia Comercial Spirits | Neutral | 2.3% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Chefs' Warehouse stock FAQ
What is Chefs' Warehouse’s market cap?
Chefs' Warehouse’s market cap is $4.56B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $111.76, with 40.80M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 51.8.
What is the Chefs' Warehouse stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Chefs' Warehouse is $120.33, +7.7% from the last close. Of the 8 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 7 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Chefs' Warehouse stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Chefs' Warehouse is overvalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $111.76 is 18.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $94.40. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Chefs' Warehouse report earnings next?
Chefs' Warehouse is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026, before the market opens (36 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.61 per share on revenue of $1.12B. Chefs' Warehouse beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 9.7% on average across the report.
What is Chefs' Warehouse’s 52-week high and low?
Chefs' Warehouse’s 52-week high is $117.65 and its 52-week low is $53.20; it closed at $111.76 on Sep 28, 2026, +87.4% over the past year.
Is Chefs' Warehouse stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (gekkoindex and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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