NASDAQ: SIRI

SiriusXM (SIRI) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$25.94+0.08 (+0.3%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

SiriusXM's week centered on its SXM-11 satellite reaching full operational status, which improves reception and extends Alaska coverage while supporting audio and data services across North America. Shares also drew attention after a 3.3% drop to $26.53, with commentary noting monthly performance of -3.55% that outperformed the Consumer Discretionary sector but lagged the S&P 500, alongside analyst expectations of a slight revenue increase paired with a decline in per-share earnings for the upcoming report. Separately, the company highlighted its Small Stage Series, with a concert set for October 6 in Denver airing on SiriusXM's The Highway.

The stock closed at $25.94, up 0.3%, sitting between its 50-day average of $28.95 and 200-day average of $25.54, reflecting a mixed trend. Monthly performance shows a 9% decline and a three-month drop of 11.3%, though the six-month return stands at 13.6% and the one-year return at 15.9%. The GekkoIndex reads 70.2, placing the stock in the Buying zone, up 1.9 over five days. Price sits 11.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $29.39.

The next earnings date falls on 3 November, 35 days out, following a July report where EPS of $0.70 missed the $0.78 estimate and shares reacted with a 9.1% move; the company has beaten estimates in 4 of the last 8 quarters. Over the last 30 days, 7 unusual options signals appeared, with call premium of $5,375,497 against put premium of $638,667. Consensus among 10 firms shows 4 buy, 3 hold and 3 sell ratings, with a consensus target of $33.23. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 5.2% return over 5 years, positive in 3 of them.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

SiriusXM price vs fair value

$29.39$25.94Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $25.94200-day averageGekko Fair Value $29.39

SiriusXM quick facts

Market cap
$8.74B
P/E ratio
10.4
Forward P/E
8.1
EPS, TTM
$2.49
Revenue, TTM
$8.60B
Profit margin
10.2%
Dividend yield
4.06%
Beta
0.96
Volume
4.21M avg 4.40M
1-year return
+15.9%
Typical daily move
±3%
Typical 20-day move
±6.5%
50-day average
$28.95
200-day average
$25.54
Next earnings
Nov 3 before open
Shares outstanding
337.1M
52-week range
$19.77$32.66

SiriusXM swing-trade checklist

SiriusXM scores 5 supportive, 1 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

5 supportive1 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $25.94 sits between the 50-day ($28.95) and 200-day ($25.54) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    70.2, Buying

    Reading 70.2 is in the Buying zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    11.7% below

    Price is 11.7% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 30 days: 7 unusual options signals.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 35 days

    Next report Nov 3, 2026, 35 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +5.2% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +5.2% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

SiriusXM stock chart and price history

SiriusXM closed at $25.94 on Sep 28, 2026, +15.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $19.77 to $32.66.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
SiriusXM share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$20$25$30NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep25.94

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−9.0%
3 months
−11.3%
6 months
+13.6%
1 year
+15.9%
The full SIRI chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open SIRI in Gekko

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About SiriusXM

SiriusXM provides audio entertainment across North America, offering music, sports, comedy, talk, news, and podcast content alongside infotainment services. Listeners access its programming through satellite radio systems built into vehicles, as well as through apps on mobile devices and home electronics. The company is widely recognized for its subscription-based satellite radio service, delivered live or on demand, and for distributing radios through automakers, retailers, and its own site.

The business is structured into two segments. The Sirius XM segment covers satellite radio, advertising, radio hardware sales, and connected vehicle services such as safety alerts, diagnostics, stolen vehicle location, and data on weather and fuel prices; it also supplies music programming to DISH Network subscribers and to commercial spaces like offices and restaurants, plus wireless communications offerings. The Pandora and Off-platform segment runs a streaming platform for music, comedy, and podcasts, reaching listeners on phones, in-car speakers, and connected devices, and generates revenue through advertising alongside listener subscriptions.

SiriusXM is headquartered in New York and was incorporated in 2013. Its shares trade on the NASDAQ under the ticker SIRI.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Consumer services
Industry
Broadcasting
Website
siriusxm.com

SiriusXM GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

SiriusXM’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 70.2, in the Buying zone, up 1.9 points over five sessions.

010070.2Buying

Up 1.9 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying (current zone)86−1.7%−3.9%−3.8%−9.9%
Accumulation224+0.6%+1.7%+0.4%+1.4%
Neutral330−0.5%−1.0%−0.8%−1.1%
Distribution25−1.7%−4.3%−6.6%−9.4%
Selling7Too few readings yet

Average SIRI share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the SIRI price, zone by zone.Track SIRI in Gekko

Is SiriusXM stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

SiriusXM trades 11.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $29.39, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what SiriusXM shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$29.39

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

11.7% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open SIRI in Gekko

SiriusXM insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for SiriusXM, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for SIRI in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every SIRI insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SIRI in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in SIRI were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for SIRI, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SIRI in Gekko

Buybacks

SiriusXM has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$6.00M
As a share of market cap
0.07%
Trailing four quarters
$94.00M

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

7signals, 89% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 26, $346K in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds SIRI.

1added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

SiriusXM earnings: next date and track record

SiriusXM reports on Nov 3, 2026, before the open (35 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.

4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.1%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+0.9%Oct ’24+9.9%Jan ’25−4.4%May ’25−7.6%Jul ’25+3.0%Oct ’25+4.6%Feb ’26+1.7%Apr ’26−9.1%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 AI summary

What they said
SiriusXM reported Q2 2026 results with 1% revenue growth, 3% adjusted EBITDA growth, and 48% year-over-year free cash flow increase. The company achieved its lowest churn in history at ~1.4%, returned to positive net subscriber additions of 22,000 (strongest Q2 in 4 years), and increased ARPU. Strategic focus remains on subscription strength, advertising growth, and operational efficiency driving margin expansion.
Guidance
Management raised full year 2026 guidance for revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and free cash flow by $25 million each. H2 subscriber trends expected to face tougher comparisons as continuous service benefits normalize in Q4, with modestly lower full year self-pay net additions anticipated.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 30, 2026$0.70
est $0.78
−10.3%$2.16B
est $2.14B
+1.0%−9.1%
Apr 30, 2026$0.74
est $0.71
+4.2%$2.09B
est $2.07B
+1.0%+1.7%
Feb 5, 2026$0.84
est $0.77
+9.1%$2.19B
est $2.17B
+1.0%+4.6%
Oct 30, 2025$0.84
est $0.78
+7.1%$2.16B
est $2.14B
+0.9%+3.0%
Jul 31, 2025$0.57
est $0.79
−27.8%$2.14B
est $2.14B
−0.2%−7.6%
May 1, 2025$0.59
est $0.70
−15.7%$2.07B
est $2.12B
−2.7%−4.4%
Jan 30, 2025$0.83
est $0.71
+16.9%$2.19B
est $2.10B
+4.3%+9.9%
Oct 31, 2024−$8.74
est $0.74
−1,281.1%$2.17B
est $2.19B
−0.9%+0.9%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

SiriusXM stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for SiriusXM is $33.23, +28.1% from the last close, from 10 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$33.23consensus 12-month target, +28.1% from the last close
Low $24High $46
Buy4
Hold3
Sell3

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 10 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 18GuggenheimBuy, maintained$37+42.6%
Sep 11Goldman SachsHold, maintained$32+23.4%
Sep 2Deutsche Bank Buy, upgraded$45+73.5%
Aug 7Goldman SachsHold, reiterated$32+23.4%
Aug 4J.P. MorganHold, maintained$34+31.1%
−3.8%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
+5.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

SiriusXM seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 26, SiriusXM averaged +5.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−1.1%2021+7.2%2022+14.4%2023+9.0%2024−5.7%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.4%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+1.1%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+6.7%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+5.2%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+7.9%4 of 5

For scale, SIRI’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.5%.

SiriusXM market cap and key statistics

SiriusXM’s market cap is $8.74B, with a P/E ratio of 10.4 and revenue of $8.60B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$8.74B
P/E ratio
10.4
Forward P/E
8.1
EPS, TTM
$2.49
Gekko Fair Value
$29.39

Trading

Volume
4.21M
Avg volume, 20 days
4.40M
52-week high
$32.66
52-week low
$19.77
Shares outstanding
337.1M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$8.60B
Profit margin
10.2%
Return on equity
7.6%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+23.7%

Risk and income

Beta
0.96
Typical daily move
±3%
Typical 20-day move
±6.5%
Dividend yield
4.06%

SiriusXM stock news this week

Coverage of SiriusXM this week reads negative: 1 positive, 2 neutral and 2 negative headlines.

News sentiment negative

SiriusXM peers

SiriusXM’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
FOXAFox+0.4%Accumulation23.1% below
FOXFox+0.5%Accumulation22.8% below
NXSTNexstar Media−0.3%Accumulation45.3% below
NMAXNewsmax+1.4%Neutral17.0% below
SBGISinclair+0.2%Accumulation46.9% below
EVCEntravision Communications−1.1%Buying4.3% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

SiriusXM stock FAQ

What is SiriusXM’s market cap?

SiriusXM’s market cap is $8.74B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $25.94, with 337.1M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 10.4.

What is the SiriusXM stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for SiriusXM is $33.23, +28.1% from the last close. Of the 10 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 4 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 3 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is SiriusXM stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate SiriusXM is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $25.94 is 11.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $29.39. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does SiriusXM report earnings next?

SiriusXM is expected to report on Nov 3, 2026, before the market opens (35 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.76 per share on revenue of $2.15B. SiriusXM beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.1% on average across the report.

What is SiriusXM’s 52-week high and low?

SiriusXM’s 52-week high is $32.66 and its 52-week low is $19.77; it closed at $25.94 on Sep 28, 2026, +15.9% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $79.50 on Jul 20, 2023.

Is SiriusXM stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 5 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in SiriusXM?

Gekko flagged 7 unusual options signals in SiriusXM over the last 30 days, with $5.38M of flagged premium in calls and $639K in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 26, 2026 with $346K in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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