NASDAQ: ALGN

Align Technology (ALGN) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$145.00−1.78 (−1.2%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Align Technology's shares have been under pressure this week amid choppy trading that saw declines of 1.72% and 3.34% on separate sessions before a 4.36% bounce ahead of its next quarterly report. The company launched a new U.S. consumer campaign, "SHIFT Happens," aimed at educating adults about lifelong tooth movement and Invisalign treatment. Coverage also referenced Q2 revenue of $1.06 billion, up 4.3% year-over-year, alongside Q3 revenue guidance set between $1.00 billion and $1.02 billion, with some commentary framing the stock as undervalued relative to analyst fair value estimates.

ALGN closed at $145.00, down 1.2%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $162.46 and 200-day average of $170.70, with the 50-day below the 200-day. Over the past month the stock is down 8.7%, and over three months down 16.4%, though it remains up 16.1% over the past year. The GekkoIndex reads 65.6, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, while Gekko Fair Value stands at $148.58, putting the current price 2.4% below that mark.

Earnings are scheduled for 28 October, 29 days out, placing the report outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. Options activity shows 2 unusual signals over the last 30 days, with call premium of $1,262,078 against put premium of $90,626. Seasonality data covering 5 years shows the next 20 trading days averaging -13.6%, rising in just 1 of those years, a pattern worth noting alongside the upcoming report.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Align Technology price vs fair value

$148.58$145.00Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $145.00200-day averageGekko Fair Value $148.58

Align Technology quick facts

Market cap
$10.38B
P/E ratio
25.5
Forward P/E
11.7
EPS, TTM
$5.75
Revenue, TTM
$4.14B
Profit margin
10%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.64
Volume
882,806 avg 903,683
1-year return
+16.1%
Typical daily move
±3%
Typical 20-day move
±8.8%
50-day average
$162.46
200-day average
$170.70
Next earnings
Oct 28 after close
Shares outstanding
71.04M
52-week range
$123.02$200.44

Align Technology swing-trade checklist

Align Technology scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $145.00 is below the 50-day ($162.46) and 200-day ($170.70) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    65.6, Accumulation

    Reading 65.6 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    2.4% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (2.4% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 30 days: 2 unusual options signals.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 29 days

    Next report Oct 28, 2026, 29 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −13.6% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −13.6% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Align Technology stock chart and price history

Align Technology closed at $145.00 on Sep 28, 2026, +16.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $123.02 to $200.44.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Align Technology share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$140$160$180$200NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep145.00

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−8.7%
3 months
−16.4%
6 months
−12.9%
1 year
+16.1%
The full ALGN chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ALGN in Gekko

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About Align Technology

Align Technology makes clear dental aligners under the Invisalign name and digital scanning equipment under the iTero brand, alongside a range of related services. Its customers are dental professionals of many kinds, including orthodontists, general dentists, and practitioners focused on restorative and cosmetic work. The company is best known for its Invisalign line, which replaces traditional braces with transparent, removable aligners for both teenage and adult patients, as well as specialized packages for younger children with a mix of baby and adult teeth.

The business runs through two segments. The Clear Aligner segment covers the full range of Invisalign products, from comprehensive treatment plans to lighter, non-comprehensive options, plus retainers, training fees, and supporting materials used during treatment. The Scanners and Services segment is built around the iTero scanning platform, which runs software for both restorative and orthodontic work, supports digital record-keeping and diagnosis, and includes tools such as outcome simulation, progress tracking, and scan comparison over time, along with related hardware accessories and CAD/CAM services.

Align Technology sells its products internationally, with notable activity in the United States, Switzerland, and China. It was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Tempe, Arizona. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker ALGN.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Health technology
Industry
Medical specialties
Website
aligntech.com

Align Technology GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Align Technology’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 65.6, in the Accumulation zone, down 4.5 points over five sessions.

010065.6Accumulation

Down 4.5 points over five sessions, from the Buying zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying47−0.1%+1.2%−0.4%+1.8%
Accumulation (current zone)259+0.3%0.0%−0.2%−1.3%
Neutral343−0.7%−1.2%−2.0%−6.3%
Distribution22+0.3%−0.1%−1.2%+4.9%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average ALGN share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ALGN price, zone by zone.Track ALGN in Gekko

Is Align Technology stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Align Technology trades 2.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $148.58, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Align Technology shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$148.58

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

2.4% below fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ALGN in Gekko

Align Technology insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Align Technology, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for ALGN in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every ALGN insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ALGN in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in ALGN were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for ALGN, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ALGN in Gekko

Buybacks

Align Technology has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$31.20M
As a share of market cap
0.30%
Trailing four quarters
$155.7M

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

2signals, 93% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 19, $331K in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold ALGN.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Align Technology earnings: next date and track record

Align Technology reports on Oct 28, 2026, after the close (29 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.

5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±7.5%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+2.7%Oct ’24+1.7%Feb ’25−0.6%Apr ’25−37.3%Jul ’25+4.0%Oct ’25+11.8%Feb ’26−0.7%Apr ’26−1.2%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Align Technology reported record Q2 2026 revenues of $1.06 billion, up 4.3% year-over-year, with record Clear Aligner volumes of 692,000 cases and 8.2% Clear Aligner revenue growth. Non-GAAP operating margin of 22.9% exceeded expectations. Systems and Services revenue of $185.3 million declined 11% year-over-year due to lower scanner ASPs and capital equipment market softness, partially offset by double-digit unit placement growth and record new doctor scanner placements.
Guidance
Management provided Q3 and full-year 2026 outlook with John Morici to detail financial targets. The company is intentionally shifting toward lower-cost scanner acquisition models, creating near-term revenue headwinds but expected to drive long-term recurring revenue growth and platform expansion.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 29, 2026$2.05
est $2.08
−1.4%$1.06B
est $1.05B
+0.4%−1.2%
Apr 29, 2026$0.00
est $2.44
−100.0%$1.04B
est $1.02B
+1.8%−0.7%
Feb 4, 2026$3.29
est $2.97
+10.8%$1.05B
est $1.03B
+1.4%+11.8%
Oct 29, 2025$2.61
est $2.40
+8.8%$995.7M
est $976.4M
+2.0%+4.0%
Jul 30, 2025$2.49
est $2.57
−3.1%$1.01B
est $1.02B
−0.9%−37.3%
Apr 30, 2025$2.13
est $1.99
+7.0%$979.3M
est $975.2M
+0.4%−0.6%
Feb 5, 2025$2.44
est $2.43
+0.4%$995.2M
est $999.2M
−0.4%+1.7%
Oct 23, 2024$2.35
est $2.31
+1.7%$977.9M
est $990.0M
−1.2%+2.7%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Align Technology stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Align Technology is $206.36, +42.3% from the last close, from 12 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$206.36consensus 12-month target, +42.3% from the last close
Low $188High $240
Buy8
Hold3
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 12 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 16Piper SandlerBuy, maintained$235+62.1%
Sep 3William BlairBuy, maintained——
Aug 18Piper SandlerBuy, maintained$235+62.1%
Aug 12BMO CapitalBuy, maintained$209+44.1%
Aug 10Evercore ISIBuy, maintained$220+51.7%
−0.2%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−13.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Align Technology seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Align Technology averaged −13.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−10.2%2021−14.0%2022−37.5%2023−15.1%2024+7.3%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−1.2%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−6.8%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−6.9%1 of 5
Next 20 trading days−13.6%1 of 5
Next 30 trading days−9.1%2 of 5

For scale, ALGN’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8.8%.

Align Technology market cap and key statistics

Align Technology’s market cap is $10.38B, with a P/E ratio of 25.5 and revenue of $4.14B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$10.38B
P/E ratio
25.5
Forward P/E
11.7
EPS, TTM
$5.75
Gekko Fair Value
$148.58

Trading

Volume
882,806
Avg volume, 20 days
903,683
52-week high
$200.44
52-week low
$123.02
Shares outstanding
71.04M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$4.14B
Profit margin
10%
Return on equity
10.2%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−12.1%

Risk and income

Beta
1.64
Typical daily move
±3%
Typical 20-day move
±8.8%

Align Technology peers

Align Technology’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
TMOThermo Fisher Scientific+1.6%Distribution23.7% above
ABTAbbott Laboratories−0.1%Accumulation15.0% below
DHRDanaher+1.8%Distribution10.2% above
ISRGIntuitive Surgical+2.4%Neutral17.0% above
MDTMedtronic+1.3%Accumulation24.1% below
SYKStryker+0.7%Accumulation14.1% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Align Technology stock FAQ

What is Align Technology’s market cap?

Align Technology’s market cap is $10.38B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $145.00, with 71.04M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 25.5.

What is the Align Technology stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Align Technology is $206.36, +42.3% from the last close. Of the 12 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 8 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Align Technology stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Align Technology is about fair value: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $145.00 is 2.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $148.58. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Align Technology report earnings next?

Align Technology is expected to report on Oct 28, 2026, after the market closes (29 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.78 per share on revenue of $1.01B. Align Technology beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 7.5% on average across the report.

What is Align Technology’s 52-week high and low?

Align Technology’s 52-week high is $200.44 and its 52-week low is $123.02; it closed at $145.00 on Sep 28, 2026, +16.1% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $713.33 on Nov 9, 2021.

Is Align Technology stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, smart money and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (fair value) and 2 as headwinds (trend and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Align Technology?

Gekko flagged 2 unusual options signals in Align Technology over the last 30 days, with $1.26M of flagged premium in calls and $91K in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 19, 2026 with $331K in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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