Mid-America Apartment Communities (MAA) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$118.34−0.01 (0.0%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Mid-America Apartment Communities drew a fresh "Sell" rating from Wall Street Zen this week, a downgrade from "hold" that stands apart from the broader analyst consensus, which remains a "hold" with an average price target cited at $142.31. The move comes alongside commentary tying the stock's weakness to an influx of new apartment supply in the Sun Belt region, even as the company approved its regular quarterly cash dividend of $1.53 per share, payable 30 October 2026. Q2 2026 revenue of $555.13 million slightly missed consensus estimates, and shares have traded near their 52-week low.

MAA closed at $118.34, below both its 50-day average of $129.03 and 200-day average of $131.37, with the 50-day sitting under the 200-day. The stock's 52-week range spans $116.67 to $144.41, and it has returned -15.9% over three months and -14.7% over the past year. The GekkoIndex reads 72.4, placing it in the Buying zone, while price sits 20.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $149.

The next earnings date falls on 28 October 2026, 29 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current windows, though a director acquired 121 phantom stock shares on 22 September at $119.15. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged -1.6% over five years, rising in 2 of them, a pattern worth noting alongside the current analyst split of 6 buy, 10 hold, and 1 sell ratings.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Mid-America Apartment Communities price vs fair value

$149.00$118.34Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $118.34200-day averageGekko Fair Value $149.00

Mid-America Apartment Communities quick facts

Market cap
$13.77B
P/E ratio
34.5
Forward P/E
33.6
EPS, TTM
$3.40
Revenue, TTM
$2.22B
Profit margin
18.2%
Dividend yield
5.17%
Beta
0.72
Volume
1.45M avg 1.14M
1-year return
−14.7%
Typical daily move
±1.9%
Typical 20-day move
±3.9%
50-day average
$129.03
200-day average
$131.37
Next earnings
Oct 28
Shares outstanding
116.0M
52-week range
$116.67$144.41

Mid-America Apartment Communities swing-trade checklist

Mid-America Apartment Communities scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $118.34 is below the 50-day ($129.03) and 200-day ($131.37) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    72.4, Buying

    Reading 72.4 is in the Buying zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    20.6% below

    Price is 20.6% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 29 days

    Next report Oct 28, 2026, 29 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −1.6% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −1.6% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Mid-America Apartment Communities stock chart and price history

Mid-America Apartment Communities closed at $118.34 on Sep 28, 2026, −14.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $116.67 to $144.41.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Mid-America Apartment Communities share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$130$140$150NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep118.34

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−8.1%
3 months
−15.9%
6 months
−1.8%
1 year
−14.7%
The full MAA chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open MAA in Gekko

Follow Mid-America Apartment Communities through every session

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About Mid-America Apartment Communities

Mid-America Apartment Communities operates as a real estate investment trust that buys, builds, upgrades, and manages apartment communities. Its holdings are concentrated across the Southeast, Southwest, and Mid-Atlantic parts of the United States, and it is this focus on multifamily housing in those regions that defines the business.

The company earns money through owning and running these residential properties rather than through one-off sales, generating returns for shareholders as rental income flows in from tenants across its portfolio. As of the end of 2020, it held interests in 102,772 apartment units, including some still under development, spread across 16 states and the District of Columbia. This scale reflects an operating model built on managing a wide, geographically spread base of properties rather than a small number of large developments.

Mid-America Apartment Communities is included in the S&P 500. Its shares trade under the ticker MAA.

Sector
Finance
Website
maac.com

Mid-America Apartment Communities GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Mid-America Apartment Communities’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 72.4, in the Buying zone, down 7.7 points over five sessions.

010072.4Buying

Down 7.7 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying (current zone)30−0.1%+1.0%+3.1%+5.3%
Accumulation228+0.1%−0.1%+0.3%+0.1%
Neutral350−0.1%−0.1%−0.3%−0.1%
Distribution17−0.6%−1.2%−1.3%−3.1%
Selling0Not available

Average MAA share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the MAA price, zone by zone.Track MAA in Gekko

Is Mid-America Apartment Communities stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Mid-America Apartment Communities trades 20.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $149.00, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Mid-America Apartment Communities shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$149.00

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

20.6% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open MAA in Gekko

Mid-America Apartment Communities insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Mid-America Apartment Communities, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for MAA in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every MAA insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MAA in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in MAA were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for MAA, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MAA in Gekko

Buybacks

Mid-America Apartment Communities has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$50.01M
As a share of market cap
0.36%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

2of the funds Gekko tracks hold MAA.

1added0opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Mid-America Apartment Communities earnings: next date and track record

Mid-America Apartment Communities reports on Oct 28, 2026 (29 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.2%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+0.2%Oct ’24+2.7%Feb ’25+2.9%Apr ’25−6.5%Jul ’25−1.5%Oct ’25−1.1%Feb ’26−0.9%Apr ’26−1.7%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 AI summary

What they said
MAA reported Q2 2026 Core FFO ahead of expectations, with sequential improvement in new-resident and blended lease-over-lease rates exceeding prior-year gains. Same-store operating expense growth was just 80 basis points year-over-year, reflecting strong cost discipline. Renewal rate growth improved 50 basis points year-over-year with record-low turnover. The company started construction on projects in Kansas City and Nashville, targeting four development starts for 2026. Interior renovation, property-wide Wi-Fi, and centralization initiatives support future margin expansion.
Guidance
Management expects recovery to expand and accelerate as new supply deliveries decline and demand remains resilient. Four development starts are targeted for 2026. Acquisition market remains slow with cap rates in the mid-to-upper 4% range, but balance sheet capacity supports opportunistic growth.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 29, 2026$2.08
est $2.08
0.0%$555.1M
est $556.2M
−0.2%−1.7%
Apr 29, 2026$1.06
est $0.81
+30.9%$553.7M
est $555.8M
−0.4%−0.9%
Feb 4, 2026$2.23
est $2.22
+0.5%$555.6M
est $556.4M
−0.1%−1.1%
Oct 29, 2025$2.16
est $2.17
−0.5%$554.4M
est $556.8M
−0.4%−1.5%
Jul 30, 2025$2.15
est $2.14
+0.5%$549.9M
est $558.4M
−1.5%−6.5%
Apr 30, 2025$2.20
est $2.16
+1.9%$549.3M
est $551.1M
−0.3%+2.9%
Feb 5, 2025$2.23
est $1.04
+114.4%$549.8M
est $552.1M
−0.4%+2.7%
Oct 30, 2024$2.21
est $2.18
+1.4%$551.1M
est $552.3M
−0.2%+0.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Mid-America Apartment Communities stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Mid-America Apartment Communities is $141.44, +19.5% from the last close, from 17 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$141.44consensus 12-month target, +19.5% from the last close
Low $123High $158
Buy6
Hold10
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 17 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 21Evercore ISIHold, maintained$123+3.9%
Sep 17Truist FinancialBuy, maintained$132+11.5%
Sep 17ScotiabankSell, maintained$125+5.6%
Sep 15UBSHold, maintained$129+9.0%
Sep 14Evercore ISIHold, maintained$129+9.0%
+3.1%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
−1.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Mid-America Apartment Communities seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Mid-America Apartment Communities averaged −1.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+7.4%2021+0.3%2022−8.6%2023−3.2%2024−4.0%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−0.7%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−1.0%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−1.0%1 of 5
Next 20 trading days−1.6%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+0.6%3 of 5

For scale, MAA’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.9%.

Mid-America Apartment Communities market cap and key statistics

Mid-America Apartment Communities’s market cap is $13.77B, with a P/E ratio of 34.5 and revenue of $2.22B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$13.77B
P/E ratio
34.5
Forward P/E
33.6
EPS, TTM
$3.40
Gekko Fair Value
$149.00

Trading

Volume
1.45M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.14M
52-week high
$144.41
52-week low
$116.67
Shares outstanding
116.0M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$2.22B
Profit margin
18.2%
Return on equity
7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+13.7%

Risk and income

Beta
0.72
Typical daily move
±1.9%
Typical 20-day move
±3.9%
Dividend yield
5.17%

Mid-America Apartment Communities stock news this week

Coverage of Mid-America Apartment Communities this week reads neutral: 4 positive, 11 neutral and 5 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

More stocks

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Mid-America Apartment Communities stock FAQ

What is Mid-America Apartment Communities’s market cap?

Mid-America Apartment Communities’s market cap is $13.77B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $118.34, with 116.0M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 34.5.

What is the Mid-America Apartment Communities stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Mid-America Apartment Communities is $141.44, +19.5% from the last close. Of the 17 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 10 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Mid-America Apartment Communities stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Mid-America Apartment Communities is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $118.34 is 20.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $149.00. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Mid-America Apartment Communities report earnings next?

Mid-America Apartment Communities is expected to report on Oct 28, 2026 (29 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.77 per share on revenue of $558.9M. Mid-America Apartment Communities beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.2% on average across the report.

What is Mid-America Apartment Communities’s 52-week high and low?

Mid-America Apartment Communities’s 52-week high is $144.41 and its 52-week low is $116.67; it closed at $118.34 on Sep 28, 2026, −14.7% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $231.63 on Dec 31, 2021.

Is Mid-America Apartment Communities stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk) and 2 as headwinds (trend and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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