NASDAQ: MDLN

Medline (MDLN) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Medline Inc. Health technology sector, medical specialties industry. Market cap $26.75B.

$31.64−0.48 (−1.5%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:18 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Medline closes at $31.64, down 1.5%, and sits below its 50-day moving average of $36.30. Over the past month the stock is off 6.7%, with three-month and six-month returns of -12% and -27.4%; the 52-week range spans $31.49 to $50.88, placing shares near their low. The GekkoIndex reads 70.2, in the Buying zone. Fair value work puts Gekko Fair Value at $50.34, leaving price 37.1% below that mark.

This week's coverage centers on a cluster of securities-investigation notices from Kaplan Fox & Kilsheimer LLP, issued 14, 16, and 18 September, alongside a separate investor notice from Moore Law PLLC on 15 September, all concerning potential securities-law violations tied to the company. Separately, Medline presented at the Morgan Stanley 24th Annual Global Healthcare Conference on 15 September, and a comparison piece weighed Medline against iRadimed on dividends, risk, and valuation. A 13F filing also showed HB Wealth Management LLC taking a new stake of 17,248 shares, valued at approximately $680,000.

Looking ahead, the next earnings date falls on 4 November, 45 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report on 5 August showed EPS of $0.47 against an estimate of $0.30, with shares reacting -17.9% and the company noting 12% year-over-year net sales growth to $7.7 billion. Analyst coverage stands at 18 buy and 2 hold ratings among 20 firms, with a consensus target of $44.60. Two billionaire holders and two trailblazer holders are noted; insider, Congress, and options activity show no recorded signals in their respective windows.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $31.64Gekko Fair Value $50.34

Key stats

Market cap
$26.75B
P/E ratio
41.2
Forward P/E
20.1
EPS, TTM
$0.78
Revenue, TTM
$29.94B
Profit margin
2.3%
Dividend yield
Beta
Volume
19.95M avg 7.59M
1-year return
Typical daily move
±4.3%
Typical 20-day move
±8.8%
50-day average
$36.30
200-day average
Next earnings
Nov 4
Shares outstanding
877.4M
52-week range
$31.49$50.88

Medline swing-trade checklist

Medline scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 3 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendno data

    No data

    Not enough price history for both moving averages.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    70.2, Buying

    Reading 70.2 is in the Buying zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    37.1% below

    Price is 37.1% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 45 days

    Next report Nov 4, 2026, 45 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityno data

    No data

    Not enough years of history for a seasonal read.

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Medline stock chart and price history

Medline closed at $31.64 on Sep 18, 2026, inside a 52-week range of $31.49 to $50.88.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−6.7%
3 months
−12.0%
6 months
−27.4%
The full MDLN chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open MDLN in Gekko

Follow Medline through every session

Put MDLN on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

Track MDLN in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.

About Medline

Medline makes medical and surgical products for healthcare organizations around the world, including hospitals, surgical centers, physician offices, and nursing and post-acute care facilities. It is known for supplying the everyday and specialized items these providers rely on, from patient care basics to equipment used in operating rooms and diagnostic labs.

The business runs through two main divisions. One produces and sources Medline's own branded goods, spanning frontline patient care items such as wound care and gloves, surgical supplies like drapes, gowns, PPE, instruments and implants, and laboratory and diagnostic tools including testing devices and monitoring systems. The other division sources and distributes third-party products, including recognized national brands, and provides logistics services such as warehousing, packaging, inventory management and route planning to customers both in the domestic market and abroad.

Medline was founded in 1966 and is headquartered in Northfield, Illinois. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker MDLN.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Health technology
Industry
Medical specialties
Website
medline.com

Medline GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Medline’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 70.2, in the Buying zone, up 3.2 points over five sessions.

010070.2Buying

Up 3.2 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying (current zone)14−1.8%−3.7%+0.1%+2.9%
Accumulation65+1.4%+2.1%+4.8%−7.9%
Neutral95−1.1%−2.0%−5.6%−6.6%
Distribution5Too few readings yet
Selling0Not available

Average MDLN share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the MDLN price, zone by zone.Track MDLN in Gekko

Is Medline stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Medline trades 37.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $50.34, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Medline shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$50.34

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

37.1% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open MDLN in Gekko

Medline insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Medline, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for MDLN in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every MDLN insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MDLN in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in MDLN were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for MDLN, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MDLN in Gekko

Buybacks

Medline has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2025
$1.97B
As a share of market cap
7.36%
Trailing four quarters
$2.01B

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

4of the funds Gekko tracks hold MDLN.

2added1opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Medline earnings: next date and track record

Medline reports on Nov 4, 2026 (45 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 4 reports.

4 of 4reports beat the EPS estimate
±9.2%average move across the report
0 of 3reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−2.2%Feb ’26−7.6%May ’26−17.9%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Medline reported strong second-quarter performance with 12% year-over-year net sales growth to $7.7 billion and first-half sales up 11% to $15 billion. Medline Brand sales grew 7% and Supply Chain Solutions grew 16%, driven by new customer signings and expansion with existing customers. Adjusted EBITDA increased 13% year-over-year to $1.1 billion, which included a net IEEPA tariff benefit of roughly $240–243 million; underlying adjusted EBITDA was $817 million. Management raised its fiscal year organic sales outlook but moderated its adjusted EBITDA outlook due to several headwinds: Middle East conflict impacts (estimated $70 million in 2026), the Tracy warehouse fire, growth-related operational investments, quality remediation, and softness in retail. Key operational initiatives include adding distribution centers (Texas, California, Midwest), adding automation (auto-stores), investments in quality and AI, and enterprise cost-savings initiatives. Prime vendor and customer signings totaled roughly $650–659 million year-to-date toward a $1 billion goal, and management expressed confidence in reaching $1 billion-plus. The company recorded and will remit customer repayments tied to IEEPA tariff refunds (total available $507 million, recorded net benefit ~ $240–243 million, customer accrual ~ $89 million), and assumes tariff rates at ~10% for the remainder of the year. Supply Chain Solutions adjusted EBITDA margin was ~4.9% in the quarter and is expected to land around 4.9%–5% for the year.
Guidance
Raised fiscal year organic sales outlook (no specific consolidated sales figure disclosed on the call). Adjusted EBITDA outlook moderated (management provided no new explicit annual adjusted EBITDA number on the call but emphasized the need to absorb several headwinds). Management estimated a $70 million 2026 impact from the Middle East (assumes diesel fuel roughly $5) and assumed tariff rates remain at the new ~10% level for the rest of the year. Supply Chain Solutions margin expected around 4.9%–5%. Management plans to make customer repayments tied to IEEPA refunds in the latter part of the year. Target of $1 billion+ in prime vendor signings remains intact; $650–659 million achieved year-to-date.
Risks flagged
Middle East conflict and associated fuel/raw material cost volatility; Tracy warehouse fire and related operational disruption; ongoing quality remediation efforts and product delays; tariff uncertainty and past IEEPA tariff impacts; retail softness and customer-specific losses; inflation and raw-material input cost volatility (e.g., NBR for gloves, resins); short-term margin pressure from growth-related operational investments and first-year rebate structures on new signings.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 5, 2026$0.47
est $0.30
+56.7%$7.69B
est $7.52B
+2.2%−17.9%
May 6, 2026$0.33
est $0.29
+13.8%$7.35B
est $7.16B
+2.6%−7.6%
Feb 25, 2026$0.38
est $0.24
+58.3%$7.79B
est $7.51B
+3.7%−2.2%
Nov 4, 2025$0.31
est $0.00
$7.12B

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Medline stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Medline is $44.60, +41.0% from the last close, from 20 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$44.60consensus 12-month target, +41.0% from the last close
Low $34High $55
Buy18
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 20 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 16Leerink PartnersBuy, reiterated$43+35.9%
Sep 10Leerink PartnersBuy, reiterated$34.05+7.6%
Aug 27BTIGBuy, maintained$55+73.8%
Aug 26Truist FinancialBuy, reiterated
Aug 17BarclaysBuy, reiterated$45+42.2%
+0.1%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
±4.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Medline market cap and key statistics

Medline’s market cap is $26.75B, with a P/E ratio of 41.2 and revenue of $29.94B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$26.75B
P/E ratio
41.2
Forward P/E
20.1
EPS, TTM
$0.78
Gekko Fair Value
$50.34

Trading

Volume
19.95M
Avg volume, 20 days
7.59M
52-week high
$50.88
52-week low
$31.49
Shares outstanding
877.4M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$29.94B
Profit margin
2.3%
Return on equity
4.9%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+262.0%

Risk and income

Typical daily move
±4.3%
Typical 20-day move
±8.8%

Medline peers

Medline’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
TMOThermo Fisher Scientific−0.8%Distribution17.1% above
ABTAbbott Laboratories+0.8%Accumulation15.5% below
DHRDanaher−0.4%Neutral1.1% above
ISRGIntuitive Surgical+3.1%Neutral12.3% above
MDTMedtronic−0.2%Neutral24.7% below
SYKStryker−1.0%Buying17.1% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Medline stock FAQ

What is Medline’s market cap?

Medline’s market cap is $26.75B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $31.64, with 877.4M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 41.2.

What is the Medline stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Medline is $44.60, +41.0% from the last close. Of the 20 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 18 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Medline stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Medline is undervalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $31.64 is 37.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $50.34. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Medline report earnings next?

Medline is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026 (45 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.34 per share on revenue of $7.72B. Medline beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 4 reports, moving 9.2% on average across the report.

What is Medline’s 52-week high and low?

Medline’s 52-week high is $50.88 and its 52-week low is $31.49; it closed at $31.64 on Sep 18, 2026.

Is Medline stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 3 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

See Medline the way Gekko members do

Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.

Join 1,349 other traders using Gekko

Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.