GSK (GSK) Stock Analysis & Forecast

GSK plc. Health technology sector. Market cap $100.6B.

$50.22−0.84 (−1.6%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:16 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

GSK closes at $50.22, down 1.6%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $51.08 and its 200-day average of $52.39, with the shorter average also under the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 59.9, placing the stock in the Neutral zone after slipping 8.7 points over the past five readings. Against this, Gekko Fair Value stands at $77.59, leaving a gap of -35.3%.

This week's news centers on pipeline and deal activity alongside a fresh analyst call. GSK is pursuing oncology expansion across lung, prostate, gynecologic, hematologic and gastrointestinal cancers, and signed a deal worth up to $750 million for global rights to a trispecific T cell-engager drug from Chimagen Biosciences, aimed at multiple myeloma with phase 1 trials expected in 2027. Jideytro data in first-line NSCLC showed strong response rates, and CFO Julie Brown outlined a £1.9 billion savings target tied to funding the pipeline through the HIV patent cliff. JP Morgan's Zain Ebrahim reiterated a Sell rating with a target of GBX 1700.

Earnings are scheduled for 28 October 2026, before the open, 38 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold; the prior quarter beat estimates ($1.36 vs $1.27) with a 2.4% reaction, part of a run of 7 beats over 7 quarters, with an average absolute reaction of 4.4%. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in their respective windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged -0.1% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them, a pattern worth noting alongside two analyst Buy ratings and a consensus target of $59.33.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $50.22200-day averageGekko Fair Value $77.59

Key stats

Market cap
$100.6B
P/E ratio
15.8
Forward P/E
9.6
EPS, TTM
$3.23
Revenue, TTM
$33.20B
Profit margin
14.5%
Dividend yield
3.61%
Beta
0.29
Volume
4.70M avg 2.71M
1-year return
+24.4%
Typical daily move
±2.1%
Typical 20-day move
±4.7%
50-day average
$51.08
200-day average
$52.39
Next earnings
Oct 28 before open
Shares outstanding
2.00B
52-week range
$39.29$61.70

GSK swing-trade checklist

GSK scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $50.22 is below the 50-day ($51.08) and 200-day ($52.39) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    59.9, Neutral

    Reading 59.9 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    35.3% below

    Price is 35.3% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 38 days

    Next report Oct 28, 2026, 38 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −0.1% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −0.1% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

GSK stock chart and price history

GSK closed at $50.22 on Sep 18, 2026, +24.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $39.29 to $61.70.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−5.0%
3 months
−0.9%
6 months
−4.1%
1 year
+24.4%
The full GSK chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open GSK in Gekko

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About GSK

GSK develops, manufactures and supplies medicines and vaccines aimed at preventing and treating a broad range of illnesses. Its vaccine lineup covers shingles, meningitis, RSV, seasonal and pandemic flu, and polio, while its medicines address areas such as HIV, cancer, and respiratory and immune conditions, including inhaled therapies for asthma and COPD and antibiotics for infection. It sells into the United Kingdom, the United States and other international markets.

The business is structured around two main divisions, Commercial Operations and Total R&D. Much of its pipeline work is carried out through outside partnerships rather than solely in-house, including collaborations with CureVac on mRNA flu vaccines, with Wave Life Sciences and Elsie Biotechnologies on oligonucleotide platforms, with Relation on fibrotic disease and osteoarthritis treatments, and with Flagship Pioneering to identify new medicines and vaccines, alongside a separate alliance targeting Parkinson's disease treatments.

GSK traces its origins back to 1715 and is headquartered in Brentford, United Kingdom; it operated under the name GlaxoSmithKline plc until May 2022. Its shares trade under the ticker GSK.

Sector
Health technology
Website
gsk.com

GSK GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

GSK’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 59.9, in the Neutral zone, down 8.7 points over five sessions.

010059.9Neutral

Down 8.7 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying48+0.3%+1.1%+2.3%+1.7%
Accumulation197+0.1%+0.5%+1.3%+2.9%
Neutral (current zone)339+0.3%+0.4%+1.1%+2.6%
Distribution29−0.2%−1.2%−4.6%−5.4%
Selling2Too few readings yet

Average GSK share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the GSK price, zone by zone.Track GSK in Gekko

Is GSK stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

GSK trades 35.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $77.59, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what GSK shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$77.59

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

35.3% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open GSK in Gekko

GSK insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for GSK, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for GSK in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every GSK insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GSK in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in GSK were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for GSK, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GSK in Gekko

GSK earnings: next date and track record

GSK reports on Oct 28, 2026, before the open (38 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 7 reports.

7 of 7reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.4%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−3.7%Oct ’24+4.4%Feb ’25−0.6%Apr ’25−1.4%Jul ’25+7.4%Oct ’25+10.9%Feb ’26−4.0%Apr ’26+2.4%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 28, 2026 AI summary

What they said
GSK reported strong Q2 results with sales up 5% to GBP 8.4 billion, core operating profit up 7%, and core EPS up 9%. Cash generation reached GBP 4.3 billion with a 17p dividend declared. Specialty Medicines grew 14% driven by Nucala COPD launch and HIV treatments, while Vaccines grew 8% led by Arexvy RSV vaccine expansion. GSK completed the Nuvalent acquisition, immediately yielding approval of Jideytro for ROS1-positive non-small cell lung cancer.
Guidance
GSK updated full-year 2026 guidance with sales and operating profit now expected towards the upper half of the prior range. EPS guidance was revised to the lower half of the range, reflecting dilution from the Nuvalent acquisition. General Medicines headwinds are expected to ease in H2 2025.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 28, 2026$1.36
est $1.27
+7.1%$11.18B
est $11.02B
+1.4%+2.4%
Apr 29, 2026$1.26
est $1.20
+4.7%$10.30B
est $10.23B
+0.7%−4.0%
Feb 4, 2026$0.68
est $0.64
+6.3%$11.78B
est $11.41B
+3.2%+10.9%
Oct 29, 2025$1.48
est $1.26
+17.5%$8.55B
est $8.48B
+0.8%+7.4%
Jul 30, 2025$0.96$10.88B−1.4%
Apr 30, 2025$1.13
est $1.08
+4.6%$9.70B
est $7.95B
+22.1%−0.6%
Feb 5, 2025$0.58
est $0.49
+18.4%$10.16B
est $9.54B
+6.5%+4.4%
Oct 30, 2024$1.29
est $1.16
+11.2%$10.50B
est $10.10B
+3.9%−3.7%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

GSK stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for GSK is $59.33, +18.1% from the last close, from 2 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$59.33consensus 12-month target, +18.1% from the last close
Low $60High $70
Buy2
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 2 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 15Berenberg BankBuy, upgraded$60+19.5%
Aug 25TD CowenBuy, maintained$70+39.4%
Aug 3TD CowenHold, maintained$70+39.4%
+1.1%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
−0.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

GSK seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, GSK averaged −0.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−0.5%2021+1.7%2022−2.2%2023−6.4%2024+8.0%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−2.8%0 of 5
Next 10 trading days−1.5%1 of 5
Next 15 trading days−0.4%1 of 5
Next 20 trading days−0.1%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+3.0%3 of 5

For scale, GSK’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.7%.

GSK market cap and key statistics

GSK’s market cap is $100.6B, with a P/E ratio of 15.8 and revenue of $33.20B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$100.6B
P/E ratio
15.8
Forward P/E
9.6
EPS, TTM
$3.23
Gekko Fair Value
$77.59

Trading

Volume
4.70M
Avg volume, 20 days
2.71M
52-week high
$61.70
52-week low
$39.29
Shares outstanding
2.00B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$33.20B
Profit margin
14.5%
Return on equity
33.4%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−69.5%

Risk and income

Beta
0.29
Typical daily move
±2.1%
Typical 20-day move
±4.7%
Dividend yield
3.61%

GSK stock news this week

Coverage of GSK this week reads negative: 1 positive, 1 neutral and 2 negative headlines.

News sentiment negative

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Reporting earnings this week

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GSK stock FAQ

What is GSK’s market cap?

GSK’s market cap is $100.6B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $50.22, with 2.00B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 15.8.

What is the GSK stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for GSK is $59.33, +18.1% from the last close. Of the 2 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 2 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is GSK stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate GSK is undervalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $50.22 is 35.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $77.59. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does GSK report earnings next?

GSK is expected to report on Oct 28, 2026, before the market opens (38 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.37 per share on revenue of $11.97B. GSK beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 7 reports, moving 4.4% on average across the report.

What is GSK’s 52-week high and low?

GSK’s 52-week high is $61.70 and its 52-week low is $39.29; it closed at $50.22 on Sep 18, 2026, +24.4% over the past year.

Is GSK stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (fair value and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 2 as headwinds (trend and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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